NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	3.1 [1180]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +15.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	1.0 [563]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): -12.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	13	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	6	7%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	28	39%	-0.08	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.21	-0.00	-0.09	8	0%	-0.08	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.19	0.02	0.06	25	66%	0.15	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.11	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	14	61%	0.08	4	-0.05	5	60%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	30.1	14.8	29.0	2.5	27.4	132.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +51.9%

NYK -2.0%

NYK -12.0%

PHI +11.3%

PHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.4	87.0	103.2	104.1
season	16.2	15.5		107.9	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	15.3	15.7	14.4	15.6
PHI	13.2	14.7	14.3	19.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-17	17	0.0	15.6	-15.60	2.0	15.5	-13.52
Kurt Thomas	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-25	33	11.7	15.9	-4.21	22.9	14.8	8.09
James White	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-24	31	13.7	15.9	-2.12	21.6	14.5	7.09
Chris Copeland	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-22	27	15.2	15.8	-0.62	18.2	14.0	4.20
Amar'e Stoudemire	51	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-15	13	15.5	15.8	-0.33	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Pablo Prigioni	35	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-20	23	14.9	16.0	-1.06	16.9	14.3	2.64
Steve Novak	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-17	17	14.5	16.1	-1.63	16.2	15.0	1.20
J.R. Smith	53	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.22	-16	-1	-15	15.1	16.3	-1.28	15.5	15.3	0.18
Jason Kidd	29	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-7	-3	16.3	15.3	1.04	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Iman Shumpert	35	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	1	-19	17.6	14.4	3.23	13.6	16.5	-2.85
Tyson Chandler	51	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.21	-21	4	-25	15.5	15.7	-0.24	14.2	16.7	-2.42
Raymond Felton	57	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	3	-23	16.0	14.9	1.06	14.5	16.6	-2.04
Carmelo Anthony	75	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	4	-25	16.1	13.3	2.83	14.5	19.2	-4.72

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.37	30	-13	43	14.6	18.4	-3.82	16.1	13.3	2.82
Nick Young	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.07	13	4	9	15.3	16.1	-0.82	15.1	19.5	-4.38
Evan Turner	71	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	-3	23	15.4	15.3	0.15	16.0	14.3	1.72
Spencer Hawes	60	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	1	15	14.1	17.7	-3.61	15.8	15.2	0.67
Thaddeus Young	68	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.48	30	-13	43	15.3	15.5	-0.23	16.3	13.6	2.71
Damien Wilkins	42	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.33	-6	23	-29	17.0	14.1	2.86	14.6	16.3	-1.66
Arnett Moultrie	8	6	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	22	-27	17.0	15.2	1.78	12.0	15.8	-3.85
Lavoy Allen	24	27	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.15	6	11	-5	16.3	15.1	1.23	16.1	15.4	0.67
Royal Ivey	37	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.40	-13	30	-43	15.8	15.1	0.63	14.8	16.1	-1.27
Shelvin Mack	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	23.2	15.0	8.23	10.3	15.8	-5.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, SAS 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DAL 90, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 82, LAC 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%