NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	3.4 [1136]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +30.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	112		Comeback	1.0 [1300]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAL): -9.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	78%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	18	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	14	51%	0.05	5	-0.09	7	57%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	37%	-0.07	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Howard	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	16	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.38	0.05	0.12	31	71%	0.34	2	-0.04	25	88%	0.05
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	4	75%	0.05	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Devin Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	2	12%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	35%	-0.05	3	-0.04	6	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.5	34.3	16.3	37.3	2.5	29.3	149.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.2%

LAL +4.3%

DAL -3.5%

LAL +0.6%

LAL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.9	12.9	15.6	90.0	112.0	104.4
season	16.4	15.6		109.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		104.3	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.2	15.4	17.1	13.4	15.9
LAL	13.1	13.4	12.2	12.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-31	40	14.5	16.2	-1.69	13.0	12.8	0.16
Darrell Armstrong	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-31	40	14.5	16.2	-1.69	13.0	12.8	0.16
DJ Mbenga	21	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.29	9	-31	40	15.3	16.1	-0.82	13.5	12.7	0.79
Devin Harris	53	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.35	-13	-9	-4	15.4	16.6	-1.22	12.6	13.1	-0.49
DeSagana Diop	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-15	8	14.5	16.8	-2.29	12.7	13.0	-0.30
Keith Van Horn	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-16	10	16.1	15.8	0.30	13.7	12.1	1.69
Adrian Griffin	43	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-17	12	14.4	17.1	-2.65	12.5	13.2	-0.77
Dirk Nowitzki	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.42	-26	4	-30	16.7	15.0	1.71	12.1	14.0	-1.91
Josh Howard	65	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.51	-29	7	-36	16.9	14.1	2.88	12.7	13.1	-0.42
Marquis Daniels	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.29	-23	1	-24	16.9	15.0	1.86	13.6	12.1	1.46
Erick Dampier	36	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-7	-8	16.7	15.5	1.28	12.2	13.2	-1.06
Jason Terry	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-9	-4	16.3	15.5	0.76	13.3	12.3	0.94

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	72	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.19	25	-3	28	12.7	13.3	-0.63	16.4	14.8	1.59
Kobe Bryant	67	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.53	35	-13	48	13.1	12.5	0.62	16.8	14.2	2.57
Smush Parker	62	60	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.41	30	-8	38	12.9	12.8	0.04	16.3	15.4	0.84
Chris Mihm	50	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.46	28	-6	34	12.8	12.9	-0.14	16.8	15.0	1.82
Brian Cook	33	32	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	17	-12	12.2	13.2	-0.98	16.8	15.5	1.34
Devean George	49	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.36	20	2	18	13.6	12.2	1.42	16.2	15.6	0.59
Kwame Brown	31	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	20	-18	13.1	12.8	0.38	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Sasha Vujacic	34	33	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.29	-7	29	-36	12.3	13.2	-0.87	14.6	16.6	-2.02
Luke Walton	47	46	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	23	-24	12.8	12.9	-0.12	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Devin Green	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	31	-40	12.6	12.9	-0.30	12.2	16.3	-4.14
Andrew Bynum	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	33	-44	13.4	12.8	0.59	12.4	16.4	-3.99
Laron Profit	32	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	29	-36	12.8	12.9	-0.08	15.5	16.1	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 67, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
PHI 75, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.8%
WAS 84, BKN 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%