NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	82		Excitement	2.9 [1194]		MVP	Jared Dudley (LAC): +16.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	121		Comeback	1.1 [1101]		LVP	Marquis Teague (CHI): -4.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.03	11	63%	0.13	3	-0.03	13	69%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.12	0.01	-0.10	13	23%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik Murphy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Marquis Teague	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	-0.01	-0.09	7	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.23	0.01	0.06	10	100%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	11	79%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	78%	0.09	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.08	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	11	36%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	8	61%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	33.2	16.8	28.6	2.3	24.4	129.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.5%

LAC +4.0%

CHI -0.9%

LAC +14.1%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	16.8	13.7	15.1	87.2	127.4	105.2
season	16.3	14.3		101.1	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.3	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.7	14.5	17.3	19.4	16.8
LAC	14.0	13.1	13.4	14.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-29	19	17.7	16.7	0.98	13.6	13.7	-0.12
Erik Murphy	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-29	19	17.7	16.7	0.98	13.6	13.7	-0.12
Nazr Mohammed	40	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.48	-17	-22	5	17.4	16.4	1.03	13.4	13.9	-0.54
Marquis Teague	39	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.48	-19	-20	1	16.9	16.7	0.24	14.1	13.4	0.62
Taj Gibson	38	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.16	-10	-29	19	16.9	16.8	0.10	13.9	13.5	0.40
Tony Snell	52	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.50	-25	-14	-11	17.0	16.5	0.51	13.4	14.1	-0.76
Luol Deng	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-22	5	16.0	18.7	-2.66	13.7	13.8	-0.11
Carlos Boozer	52	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.18	-20	-19	-1	16.4	17.3	-0.82	13.5	13.8	-0.30
Kirk Hinrich	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	-19	-1	16.7	16.9	-0.24	13.4	14.1	-0.62
Mike Dunleavy	58	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.34	-26	-13	-13	17.3	16.0	1.36	14.1	13.1	0.92
Joakim Noah	46	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	-18	-3	16.4	17.2	-0.73	14.0	13.5	0.50

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	49	51	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.20	24	15	9	13.7	13.7	-0.02	16.3	17.4	-1.04
Chris Paul	55	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.19	22	17	5	13.6	13.8	-0.29	16.3	17.6	-1.34
Blake Griffin	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	20	-1	13.9	13.4	0.52	16.3	17.5	-1.16
Jared Dudley	42	43	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	21	-3	14.0	13.4	0.57	16.2	17.3	-1.10
DeAndre Jordan	52	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	20	-1	13.9	13.4	0.53	16.3	17.4	-1.12
Reggie Bullock	52	50	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.57	22	17	5	13.6	13.7	-0.11	17.3	16.2	1.09
Antawn Jamison	30	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.39	15	24	-9	13.3	13.8	-0.51	17.5	16.5	0.98
Ryan Hollins	42	39	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.48	18	21	-3	13.2	14.1	-0.88	17.9	16.1	1.82
Darren Collison	40	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.46	17	22	-5	13.8	13.6	0.29	17.6	16.3	1.34
Jamal Crawford	36	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.25	9	30	-21	13.7	13.7	-0.03	16.8	16.8	-0.08
Willie Green	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	32	-25	13.6	13.7	-0.12	17.7	16.7	0.98
Byron Mullens	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	34	-29	13.5	13.7	-0.16	17.5	16.7	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 69, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 94, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NYK 80, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%