NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	69		Excitement	3.4 [1083]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +4.9%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.1 [1259]		LVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAS): -16.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Courtney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	41%	0.00	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	15	51%	0.03	6	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Jamie Feick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Alexander	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	9	32%	-0.02	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	24%	-0.07	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	11	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.02	-0.04	10	29%	-0.07	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.08	14	68%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	17	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.00	0.09	8	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	-0.11	12	33%	-0.04	4	-0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	47%	-0.07	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	0.04	12	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	24.7	17.0	24.0	1.7	24.5	118.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +14.4%

CHI +3.4%

CHI +13.8%

CHI +17.5%

CHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHI	NBA	SAS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	14.0	15.6	73.4	116.8	104.4
season	16.8	15.5		100.8	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.4		99.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.0	18.0	14.7	16.5	16.5
CHI	15.7	13.9	11.9	14.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Courtney	34	36	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.38	-13	-29	16	14.7	17.5	-2.75	13.4	14.4	-1.03
Cory Alexander	50	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.40	-17	-25	8	15.2	18.0	-2.80	14.1	13.9	0.13
Will Perdue	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-37	32	17.9	16.2	1.61	13.4	14.1	-0.75
Jamie Feick	59	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.38	-22	-20	-2	15.9	17.5	-1.59	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Vernon Maxwell	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.40	-23	-19	-4	15.8	17.8	-2.05	14.0	14.0	-0.05
Greg Anderson	39	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.33	-21	-21	0	17.0	16.1	0.92	15.5	13.0	2.50
Monty Williams	81	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.71	-35	-7	-28	16.3	17.9	-1.66	14.0	13.7	0.38
Vinny Del Negro	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.33	-23	-19	-4	17.8	15.4	2.34	14.1	13.9	0.25
Avery Johnson	44	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.33	-25	-17	-8	18.0	15.2	2.80	13.9	14.1	-0.13
Carl Herrera	45	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.35	-26	-16	-10	17.9	15.2	2.64	13.9	14.1	-0.13

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	44	46	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.16	23	19	4	14.0	14.0	-0.04	17.6	15.4	2.19
Luc Longley	55	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.34	28	14	14	12.6	16.0	-3.41	17.0	15.8	1.19
Jud Buechler	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.40	24	18	6	13.8	14.1	-0.31	17.3	16.0	1.29
Scottie Pippen	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.34	21	21	0	13.8	14.4	-0.63	16.0	17.3	-1.26
Jason Caffey	74	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.53	27	15	12	14.1	13.5	0.61	16.0	18.1	-2.12
Dickey Simpkins	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.38	21	21	0	13.1	14.5	-1.47	17.0	16.2	0.85
Ron Harper	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.30	18	24	-6	13.0	14.9	-1.86	16.1	16.8	-0.66
Steve Kerr	44	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.43	20	22	-2	14.9	13.2	1.69	17.3	15.8	1.44
Robert Parish	27	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.21	8	34	-26	17.7	12.5	5.23	16.2	16.6	-0.44
Randy Brown	55	53	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.57	20	22	-2	14.5	13.3	1.12	15.2	18.2	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
PHI 88, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 82, LAC 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%