NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	2.6 [1231]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +7.8%
Detroit Pistons	105		Comeback	1.1 [1221]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -12.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	10	55%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lou Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	54%	0.03	3	-0.04	10	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	32%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	9	20%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	10	73%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	14	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	13	55%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	6	86%	0.06	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	16	57%	0.06	4	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	69%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	29.2	17.4	32.6	3.3	27.4	137.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.8%

DET +4.2%

DET +3.9%

PHI -0.4%

PHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	17.3	15.4	102.3	122.1	105.7
season	15.2	16.8		104.0	108.8
opponent	15.8	16.2		101.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.9	15.5	15.1	15.4	16.2
DET	15.4	15.8	17.6	20.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	11.3	16.6	-5.35	19.0	17.2	1.84
Rodney Carney	32	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-21	25	13.7	17.7	-4.05	18.6	16.5	2.18
Lou Williams	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-22	27	14.5	17.8	-3.27	18.0	16.6	1.34
Jason Smith	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-20	23	14.1	17.8	-3.62	18.5	16.4	2.05
Reggie Evans	51	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-13	9	16.3	16.1	0.19	18.5	15.4	3.16
Willie Green	40	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-2	-13	17.6	15.0	2.57	16.4	18.0	-1.56
Samuel Dalembert	49	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	3	-23	17.8	14.1	3.62	16.4	18.5	-2.05
Andre Iguodala	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	1	-19	18.1	12.9	5.24	17.0	17.8	-0.88
Andre Miller	55	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	5	-27	16.8	15.1	1.77	16.5	18.6	-2.18
Thaddeus Young	64	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	3	-23	16.0	16.8	-0.83	16.5	19.8	-3.33

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	49	50	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.29	27	-10	37	16.1	18.9	-2.86	17.0	15.1	1.87
Richard Hamilton	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.05	18	-1	19	16.5	20.1	-3.57	16.3	15.9	0.39
Chauncey Billups	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.29	26	-9	35	16.3	18.9	-2.62	17.1	14.7	2.36
Tayshaun Prince	49	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.27	25	-8	33	16.6	18.3	-1.72	17.7	14.1	3.64
Rasheed Wallace	47	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.22	22	-5	27	16.3	18.5	-2.24	17.7	14.3	3.42
Jason Maxiell	47	46	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	23	-29	18.6	15.7	2.97	15.0	17.5	-2.53
Rodney Stuckey	49	48	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	22	-27	18.4	15.8	2.64	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Jarvis Hayes	16	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	21	-25	18.7	17.0	1.79	12.9	17.0	-4.08
Amir Johnson	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	26	-35	18.8	16.5	2.32	14.1	17.2	-3.05
Arron Afflalo	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	26	-35	20.0	16.3	3.70	14.8	16.7	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 107, SAC 130	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CHI 81, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
UTA 72, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%