NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	7.3 [293]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +26.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.0 [900]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -24.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	9	61%	0.16	1	-0.05	5	40%	-0.06
Wesley Matthews	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.06	0.04	14	53%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.06	0.03	18	71%	0.16	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.10	0.03	-0.03	11	26%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	14	33%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.16	0.01	20	61%	0.29	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.14	0.01	10	71%	0.31	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	-0.00	8	87%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.11	-0.02	9	45%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	14	33%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.10	0.05	17	43%	-0.13	4	-0.11	8	87%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	24.4	17.2	26.5	1.8	38.3	134.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.6%

POR -9.1%

LAL +39.3%

POR -9.6%

POR -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.6	104.3	109.6	102.8
season	15.7	16.2		104.1	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	15.3	12.6	16.6	14.9
LAL	12.8	17.5	16.2	18.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nolan Smith	31	32	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-15	23	14.0	15.3	-1.31	17.9	15.1	2.76
Luke Babbitt	7	7	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.09	7	-14	21	11.3	15.2	-3.88	20.0	15.8	4.23
Kurt Thomas	26	26	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-7	7	12.7	15.7	-3.03	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Joel Przybilla	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-5	3	15.3	14.6	0.63	14.8	16.8	-2.00
JJ Hickson	38	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	16.6	13.6	2.96	17.7	15.0	2.73
Nicolas Batum	64	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	5	-17	14.4	16.0	-1.57	15.9	16.7	-0.79
Jamal Crawford	49	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-4	1	14.9	14.9	0.02	17.0	15.0	2.09
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-4	1	15.0	14.2	0.77	16.3	14.9	1.44
Wesley Matthews	71	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	4	-15	15.2	13.8	1.44	14.9	19.9	-5.01
Raymond Felton	61	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.22	-15	8	-23	15.3	14.0	1.31	15.1	17.9	-2.76

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	75	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.16	12	-5	17	16.4	14.8	1.56	15.2	13.9	1.31
Ramon Sessions	68	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	1	5	16.3	15.4	0.92	15.0	14.5	0.56
Josh McRoberts	40	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	1	5	17.1	15.4	1.72	16.0	14.0	2.04
Metta World Peace	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-6	19	14.7	18.8	-4.09	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Kobe Bryant	72	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	5	-3	15.8	17.0	-1.25	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Pau Gasol	64	65	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	3	1	15.6	17.1	-1.54	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Matt Barnes	49	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.32	-2	9	-11	16.2	15.9	0.33	15.1	14.6	0.44
Steve Blake	35	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	4	-1	17.0	15.6	1.41	15.0	14.8	0.16
Troy Murphy	5	5	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	16	-25	20.0	15.9	4.13	10.2	15.1	-4.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 106, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.68,0.84,1	93.2%
PHI 84, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,1	92.9%
ORL 87, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.97,0.9,1	92.8%