NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	7.2 [361]		MVP	Marquis Daniels (BOS): +17.3%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.1 [1079]		LVP	Eddie House (NYK): -29.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	10	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	10	82%	0.19	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.03	22	58%	0.12	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Henry Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,-0.01	0.06	-0.07	-0.00	13	66%	0.10	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.3	-0.12	-0.18	-0.00	7	29%	-0.14	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.00	9	67%	0.21	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	64%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.03	6	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.05	0.02	14	71%	0.21	2	-0.13	6	83%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	80%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	11	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	28.1	15.8	23.5	2.4	31.6	127.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.1%

BOS +9.0%

NYK -15.5%

BOS +16.8%

BOS +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.3	110.4	114.6	106.0
season	14.7	15.5		105.9	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	11.7	15.2	18.9	14.6
BOS	14.4	15.6	15.5	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	61	60	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-7	10	14.7	14.5	0.21	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Henry Walker	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-3	2	14.7	14.5	0.19	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Danilo Gallinari	58	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-1	-2	13.6	16.2	-2.59	15.6	15.1	0.44
Tracy McGrady	52	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-4	4	13.5	15.9	-2.47	16.4	14.2	2.21
David Lee	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-2	0	14.8	13.1	1.73	15.7	13.2	2.46
Eddie House	52	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	16.4	12.5	3.87	14.7	16.2	-1.56
Sergio Rodriguez	77	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	14.2	16.0	-1.75	15.4	15.5	-0.18
Wilson Chandler	70	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.32	-10	6	-16	15.0	13.6	1.39	15.3	15.7	-0.46

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	56	57	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-9	22	15.4	15.4	-0.07	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Ray Allen	77	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-5	14	15.9	13.5	2.34	14.8	13.8	1.06
Rajon Rondo	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-1	6	15.6	14.7	0.89	14.5	15.0	-0.59
Kevin Garnett	62	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	0	4	15.9	14.5	1.36	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Kendrick Perkins	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	0	4	16.0	14.5	1.51	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Brian Scalabrine	13	13	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	3	-2	12.4	15.9	-3.49	13.0	14.8	-1.84
Rasheed Wallace	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	5	-6	14.8	15.8	-0.94	15.5	14.0	1.50
Glen Davis	33	35	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	4	-4	14.9	15.7	-0.76	15.5	14.0	1.49
Nate Robinson	32	33	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	9	-14	14.2	16.0	-1.88	16.2	13.8	2.37
Tony Allen	37	37	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.12	-10	14	-24	15.5	15.3	0.17	14.6	14.6	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.96,1	93.2%
PHX 90, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.57,0.85,1	91.7%
UTA 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.67,0.72,1	91.5%