NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	7.9 [283]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +28.3%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	1.2 [1116]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -24.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28	0.11	0.12	-0.05	11	64%	0.28	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	13	63%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.04
Samuel Dalembert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.10
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	7	29%	-0.14	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	0.00	15	54%	-0.10	4	-0.14	5	60%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.11	0.03	17	70%	0.29	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	16	57%	0.14	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.06
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	12	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	5	25%	-0.09	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	11	29%	-0.13	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	29.2	17.5	26.3	2.7	35.1	137.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -17.0%

PHI -4.1%

ORL +46.0%

ORL +24.2%

ORL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	19.2	15.4	106.3	107.5	104.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.7	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.0	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	18.1	18.8	17.1	17.0
ORL	16.0	19.8	18.2	23.9	19.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	6	5	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-3	4	17.0	17.0	-0.04	12.6	19.6	-7.01
Steven Hunter	25	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	2	-6	17.8	16.7	1.17	18.0	19.8	-1.80
Willie Green	26	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	3	-8	15.6	17.8	-2.18	17.8	19.9	-2.08
Kyle Korver	50	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.46	9	-11	20	16.8	17.5	-0.76	20.0	17.5	2.50
Rodney Carney	32	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	6	-14	17.5	16.7	0.72	20.8	18.1	2.68
Samuel Dalembert	57	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-4	6	16.9	17.4	-0.45	19.6	18.2	1.34
Andre Iguodala	68	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	0	-2	17.1	16.5	0.68	19.0	20.3	-1.27
Kevin Ollie	64	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	1	-4	17.5	15.0	2.52	19.6	17.7	1.95
Chris Webber	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-2	2	16.9	18.0	-1.13	18.7	21.7	-3.03

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	74	72	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	18.4	28.8	-10.44	17.0	17.4	-0.43
Grant Hill	62	61	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	0	2	17.7	24.2	-6.51	17.0	17.3	-0.38
Tony Battie	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	1	0	20.9	16.9	4.04	17.7	16.1	1.68
Trevor Ariza	34	33	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	0	2	20.4	18.3	2.05	18.0	16.4	1.60
Jameer Nelson	53	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	2	-2	16.9	23.7	-6.78	16.2	18.6	-2.31
Keyon Dooling	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	0	2	20.0	17.2	2.81	16.8	17.8	-1.02
Keith Bogans	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-2	6	20.0	19.0	0.96	15.7	17.2	-1.53
Carlos Arroyo	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	5	-8	23.0	17.0	5.95	18.5	16.2	2.28
Pat Garrity	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	2	-2	23.6	18.8	4.82	15.0	17.2	-2.24
Darko Milicic	28	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	6	-10	17.5	20.1	-2.52	16.6	17.3	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.78,0.86,0.96,1	93.5%
NYK 97, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.81,0.84,0.69,0.74,1	93.0%
POR 96, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.96,1	92.9%