NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	7.2 [368]		MVP	Grant Long (BOS): +10.4%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	1.1 [898]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -17.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Hubert Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	8	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	11	46%	-0.02	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	39%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	7	43%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	77%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.02	10	77%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	79%	0.13	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.03
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	12	36%	-0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	25.7	15.3	25.0	1.7	26.2	121.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.6%

BOS +12.1%

BOS +3.4%

DET -13.2%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	15.5	96.8	103.1	101.6
season	16.8	15.6		101.7	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.7	14.3	15.1	16.8	15.9
BOS	13.6	15.7	12.6	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	61	61	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	15.5	16.7	-1.21	13.4	15.7	-2.37
Chucky Atkins	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-12	17	15.6	16.2	-0.66	15.8	12.8	3.02
Hubert Davis	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-7	7	12.7	16.2	-3.47	13.0	14.4	-1.37
Jon Barry	39	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-12	17	15.9	15.9	-0.01	16.3	12.9	3.40
Michael Curry	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	4	-15	16.4	15.5	0.90	12.6	15.5	-2.92
Tayshaun Prince	51	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-11	15	15.5	16.4	-0.90	15.5	12.6	2.92
Richard Hamilton	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	5	-17	16.5	15.4	1.08	12.8	15.6	-2.81
Mehmet Okur	52	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	5	-17	16.6	15.1	1.48	13.1	15.6	-2.47
Chauncey Billups	39	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	7	-21	17.4	14.9	2.56	12.5	15.4	-2.88

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	37	37	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-10	27	12.5	15.3	-2.81	17.1	15.2	1.85
Tony Delk	44	44	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.07	16	-9	25	12.7	15.5	-2.83	16.2	15.7	0.48
Bimbo Coles	31	29	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	7	-7	15.4	13.7	1.69	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Grant Long	44	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	7	-7	15.1	13.5	1.57	16.0	15.9	0.14
Paul Pierce	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	-4	15	13.0	15.3	-2.25	17.0	15.0	2.04
Walter McCarty	62	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	9	-11	14.9	13.0	1.87	15.6	16.6	-1.03
Mark Blount	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	10	-13	15.2	13.1	2.12	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Eric Williams	40	39	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	0	7	13.5	14.7	-1.23	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Antoine Walker	52	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	0	7	13.5	15.1	-1.57	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Kedrick Brown	31	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	13	-19	15.6	13.6	2.08	15.5	16.1	-0.66
J.R. Bremer	35	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.07	-5	12	-17	15.1	13.8	1.33	15.8	16.0	-0.24
Mark Bryant	8	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	14	-21	15.9	14.1	1.78	10.6	16.4	-5.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.78,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,1	93.5%
CHA 81, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,1	92.9%
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	92.7%