NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	7.8 [232]		MVP	Derrick Williams (MIN): +49.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	69.4 [28]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -20.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	17	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Josh Howard	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.06	0.03	15	58%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Alec Burks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,0,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	20	43%	0.20	1	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.5	0.50	0.06	0.42	-0.02	8	62%	0.52	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.10
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.46	0.46	0.06	0.41	0.01	10	65%	0.50	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.08
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.03	0.07	12	81%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	11	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.03
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.14	0.02	5	50%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	7	35%	-0.04	6	-0.13	6	17%	-0.10
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	14	29%	-0.12	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	24.5	15.6	30.4	0.8	40.7	136.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +8.7%

MIN +30.4%

MIN +15.4%

UTA -5.0%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.6	107.7	109.9	102.8
season	15.8	15.3		104.0	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.0	18.0	16.0	16.2	16.1
MIN	20.3	12.7	15.3	14.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	23	23	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-5	8	16.0	16.1	-0.07	16.7	15.2	1.48
Enes Kanter	15	16	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-1	0	16.6	16.0	0.60	15.7	15.5	0.17
Alec Burks	29	30	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.23	-7	5	-12	16.7	15.8	0.92	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Devin Harris	47	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.45	8	-10	18	15.4	16.8	-1.39	15.7	15.3	0.42
CJ Miles	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	8	-18	16.3	15.9	0.38	14.1	16.5	-2.33
Josh Howard	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	16.3	15.7	0.63	16.5	13.9	2.53
Earl Watson	44	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	11	-24	16.8	15.4	1.39	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Al Jefferson	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-3	4	16.1	16.1	-0.07	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Gordon Hayward	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.72	8	-10	18	15.4	17.3	-1.89	15.8	15.2	0.62
Paul Millsap	73	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.47	-4	2	-6	16.0	16.4	-0.36	15.4	16.2	-0.84

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	51	51	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.35	18	-16	34	13.7	17.9	-4.24	17.0	15.0	2.01
Derrick Williams	39	40	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.45	14	-12	26	14.7	16.2	-1.50	16.5	15.8	0.76
Martell Webster	41	42	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.59	7	-5	12	14.7	16.3	-1.62	16.4	15.9	0.52
Luke Ridnour	65	66	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.45	7	-5	12	15.4	16.0	-0.63	15.9	16.7	-0.86
Kevin Love	70	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-4	10	15.5	15.7	-0.21	15.8	17.1	-1.35
Darko Milicic	12	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	6	-10	15.0	15.6	-0.63	17.5	15.9	1.61
Michael Beasley	16	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	8	-14	15.4	15.6	-0.21	17.2	15.9	1.33
Wesley Johnson	38	37	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.01	-10	12	-22	18.1	13.7	4.43	15.1	16.8	-1.76
Nikola Pekovic	61	59	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.03	-12	14	-26	16.3	14.1	2.16	15.9	16.5	-0.62
Ricky Rubio	62	60	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.09	-10	12	-22	16.3	13.9	2.43	15.7	16.8	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.22,0.32,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.27,1	93.0%
MIA 81, BOS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.27,1	92.5%
ATL 93, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.36,0.15,0.43,0.42,1	92.3%