NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	6.6 [474]		MVP	Evan Turner (BOS): +48.2%
Boston Celtics	89		Comeback	40.5 [17]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -12.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.11	-0.01	15	73%	0.29	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Dennis Schroder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	57%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
DeMarre Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	-0.04	15	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Pero Antic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Jeff Teague	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	12	38%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.48	0.48	-0.03	0.51	-0.01	11	46%	0.53	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	13	39%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.02	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.07	-0.03	12	39%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.0	14.8	27.2	1.7	32.6	127.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.0%

ATL -0.7%

BOS +14.7%

BOS +0.2%

BOS +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	15.1	91.7	96.7	104.2
season	14.9	14.3		106.7	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.7	16.0	15.4	15.8	15.0
BOS	18.9	16.0	15.2	13.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	71	70	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.11	8	-9	17	14.6	16.1	-1.54	16.5	13.0	3.51
Mike Scott	29	28	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.04	2	-3	5	17.2	14.0	3.24	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Dennis Schroder	33	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.19	-7	6	-13	17.6	13.6	4.05	14.9	16.1	-1.18
Pero Antic	21	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	4	-9	15.7	14.8	0.94	13.8	16.3	-2.50
Kent Bazemore	45	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.45	5	-6	11	15.8	14.2	1.59	15.2	16.1	-0.94
Al Horford	72	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-2	3	14.2	17.2	-2.97	16.7	13.0	3.67
Jeff Teague	69	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	1	-3	13.8	17.9	-4.10	15.8	15.3	0.48
Paul Millsap	70	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.63	0	-1	1	14.6	16.0	-1.45	15.3	16.6	-1.29
DeMarre Carroll	70	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.45	-7	6	-13	14.7	15.7	-0.93	15.3	16.5	-1.14

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	52	52	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-10	21	14.7	16.9	-2.12	16.5	13.2	3.23
Evan Turner	59	64	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.54	7	-6	13	15.9	15.3	0.53	14.5	15.9	-1.39
Marcus Thornton	49	51	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-13	27	15.9	15.4	0.48	13.5	16.6	-3.05
Jared Sullinger	55	59	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.64	-3	4	-7	15.3	16.2	-0.95	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Avery Bradley	57	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.62	-7	8	-15	16.3	14.7	1.59	13.8	17.2	-3.40
Jae Crowder	28	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.14	6	-5	11	15.9	15.6	0.37	16.9	14.1	2.84
Tyler Zeller	35	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.14	3	-2	5	15.0	16.1	-1.09	13.6	15.7	-2.11
Marcus Smart	50	50	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	12	-23	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.4	14.5	0.96
James Young	34	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	2	-3	14.5	16.4	-1.91	17.1	13.9	3.22
Brandon Bass	41	44	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.12	-14	15	-29	17.4	14.3	3.05	15.1	14.9	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,1	93.4%
MIA 81, BOS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.27,1	93.1%
UTA 98, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.22,0.32,0.17,1	93.0%