NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	82		Excitement	2.5 [1007]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (NYK): +5.9%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.2 [863]		LVP	Jannero Pargo (ATL): -9.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	12	64%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	64%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	5	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	16	48%	-0.01	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	-0.12	5	20%	-0.00	5	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	2	71%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	13	43%	-0.03	4	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	4	-0.05	2	50%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	11	65%	0.08	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	12	71%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	55%	0.03	2	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	16	47%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jerome Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	58%	0.03	4	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	12	59%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	3	12%	-0.00	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.6	28.4	16.7	26.2	2.5	24.2	128.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.1%

NYK +7.2%

NYK +7.4%

NYK +7.7%

ATL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	15.6	82.8	100.0	102.8
season	15.7	14.9		102.5	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		100.2	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.6	16.4	16.5	12.2	14.9
NYK	12.1	13.6	14.1	17.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	8	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-18	19	16.9	14.7	2.15	14.4	14.2	0.25
Jerry Stackhouse	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-20	23	16.5	14.4	2.06	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Marvin Williams	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-15	13	16.8	12.7	4.12	13.7	14.7	-1.02
Zaza Pachulia	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-11	5	16.6	13.6	3.02	14.0	14.3	-0.34
Vladimir Radmanovic	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-20	23	11.3	16.9	-5.55	15.7	13.4	2.35
Jeff Teague	58	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-9	1	16.6	12.5	4.12	13.6	15.1	-1.50
Willie Green	63	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-4	-9	14.8	15.1	-0.25	14.8	13.2	1.61
Ivan Johnson	34	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-14	11	12.8	16.0	-3.16	15.8	13.3	2.58
Jannero Pargo	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-8	-1	12.5	16.6	-4.12	15.1	13.6	1.50
Kirk Hinrich	33	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-12	7	11.4	16.7	-5.30	14.8	13.9	0.85
Tracy McGrady	32	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.25	-21	4	-25	14.7	15.0	-0.31	12.6	15.0	-2.42
Josh Smith	71	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.36	-25	8	-33	16.3	11.4	4.84	13.0	17.0	-3.97

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	53	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	4	9	14.3	14.1	0.24	13.9	16.1	-2.15
Jared Jeffries	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	6	5	14.7	13.6	1.12	13.3	17.0	-3.67
Steve Novak	48	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	3	11	14.5	13.9	0.60	13.1	16.7	-3.55
Jeremy Lin	65	64	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	8	1	14.0	14.6	-0.69	15.8	13.3	2.50
Carmelo Anthony	54	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	10	-3	13.4	15.1	-1.73	16.9	12.6	4.28
Tyson Chandler	68	67	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.19	15	2	13	13.7	15.3	-1.55	16.3	11.9	4.47
Baron Davis	30	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	11	-5	14.0	14.3	-0.32	14.0	15.3	-1.28
Landry Fields	67	65	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	18	-19	15.4	11.7	3.65	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	8	1	13.2	15.2	-2.08	16.1	13.7	2.47
Jerome Jordan	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	19.7	14.0	5.79	5.3	15.2	-9.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, CHA 105	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
WAS 81, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
NJN 123, MIL 132	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%