NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	2.6 [1242]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +10.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	105		Comeback	1.3 [790]		LVP	David Lee (NYK): -11.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	18	41%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.09	14	65%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	11	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	-0.01	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	13	34%	-0.04	4	-0.07	6	17%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.02	17	60%	0.11	3	-0.00	11	82%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	61%	0.05	2	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.00	0.07	11	77%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	62%	0.03	3	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	17	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	29.6	15.6	24.0	1.8	42.3	139.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +32.0%

CHA +3.6%

CHA +2.5%

CHA +11.0%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	16.2	15.4	101.1	111.7	105.7
season	15.7	15.8		103.1	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.2	16.8	15.5	11.9	14.5
CHA	15.2	16.7	18.0	15.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	6.7	15.1	-8.38	3.4	17.2	-13.77
Renaldo Balkman	5	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-7	4	15.4	14.4	0.98	17.8	16.1	1.78
Malik Rose	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.37	10	-20	30	15.2	13.9	1.32	18.7	14.1	4.57
Jared Jeffries	11	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-5	0	16.0	14.3	1.73	16.4	16.1	0.22
Nate Robinson	55	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.48	11	-21	32	14.1	14.9	-0.78	16.3	16.1	0.20
Eddy Curry	36	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	6	-22	15.3	13.9	1.40	16.0	16.3	-0.23
David Lee	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-8	6	13.5	15.5	-1.98	16.0	16.4	-0.44
Zach Randolph	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	3	-16	15.4	13.4	1.93	16.3	16.0	0.36
Fred Jones	84	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-6	2	14.1	17.2	-3.06	16.4	14.6	1.76
Quentin Richardson	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.29	-23	13	-36	15.0	14.1	0.94	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Jamal Crawford	89	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-3	-4	14.4	15.4	-0.98	16.1	17.8	-1.78

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	86	85	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	1	8	15.9	19.5	-3.64	13.7	21.9	-8.21
Jason Richardson	81	83	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	6	-2	16.3	15.4	0.91	13.9	18.5	-4.51
Emeka Okafor	66	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	17.2	13.6	3.60	15.0	13.3	1.70
Matt Carroll	40	40	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	4	2	17.0	15.5	1.49	16.2	13.1	3.10
Ryan Hollins	16	15	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	-7	24	16.6	16.1	0.47	19.3	13.5	5.79
Jeff McInnis	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	2	6	14.2	17.4	-3.18	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Raymond Felton	72	72	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.25	-1	11	-12	16.0	16.9	-0.91	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Nazr Mohammed	61	60	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	11	-12	15.9	16.7	-0.86	12.8	17.3	-4.47
Jared Dudley	11	11	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	7	-4	17.1	16.0	1.04	20.9	13.6	7.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 84, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
ATL 82, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
WAS 81, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%