inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 81 Excitement2.2 [1247] MVPJim Jackson (HOU): +6.7%
Houston Rockets 107 Comeback1.2 [1027] LVPKwame Brown (WAS): -8.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.05580%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mitchell Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.00-0.07520%-0.0120.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.03672%0.002-0.02683%-0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011238%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Juan Dixon-0.030,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.06856%0.036-0.0600%0.00
Steve Blake-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.070.000.11786%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.15-0.00-0.101532%-0.033-0.034100%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02458%-0.014-0.04475%-0.01
Kwame Brown-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03737%-0.023-0.065100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.001074%0.092-0.023100%0.01
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.021068%0.0600.00250%-0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.011167%0.083-0.052100%0.01
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02462%0.0310.0000%0.00
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01771%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01844%0.0000.002100%0.01
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.070.000.07580%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.120.00-0.081241%0.004-0.04333%-0.01
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.02867%0.054-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.625.515.624.12.423.6118.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +35.3%
HOU +4.3%
HOU +5.4%
HOU +3.1%
HOU +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASHOUNBAWASHOUNBA
this game14.916.415.789.0115.1100.5
season15.216.596.498.8
opponent15.615.397.1102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.214.715.713.014.9
HOU14.516.714.320.416.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitchell Butler15150.00-0.500.50-0.124-303413.015.3-2.3220.415.64.82
Steve Blake3232-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-252413.515.7-2.1618.015.52.51
Jared Jeffries3434-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-221813.815.6-1.8719.414.64.86
Jarvis Hayes3638-0.19-0.310.13-0.13-2-242213.615.8-2.1419.114.54.65
Etan Thomas3740-0.19-0.310.13-0.07-4-221813.915.6-1.7618.514.73.76
Brendan Haywood5453-0.31-0.19-0.130.33-22-4-1815.613.91.7614.718.5-3.76
Jerry Stackhouse5555-0.31-0.19-0.130.39-24-2-2215.813.62.1414.519.1-4.65
Kwame Brown5759-0.32-0.18-0.150.32-22-4-1815.613.81.8714.619.4-4.86
Gilbert Arenas6365-0.41-0.09-0.310.38-271-2815.713.22.4815.618.2-2.61
Juan Dixon7274-0.45-0.05-0.410.37-282-3015.313.61.7115.519.6-4.12

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jim Jackson62610.480.020.46-0.4933-74014.919.3-4.4015.813.22.59
Steve Francis72710.420.080.34-0.3727-12815.619.1-3.5415.413.41.97
Mark Jackson43420.350.150.190.051016-618.414.63.8014.215.6-1.43
Kelvin Cato51510.280.220.05-0.372241814.718.4-3.7416.013.62.34
Maurice Taylor30310.250.250.00-0.25179816.116.5-0.3816.414.22.15
Clar. Weatherspoon46450.240.26-0.030.09521-1618.514.34.2013.716.1-2.42
Yao Ming49460.240.26-0.03-0.151313015.617.2-1.5314.815.0-0.17
Cuttino Mobley56540.230.27-0.03-0.321971214.718.8-4.0815.514.11.39
Adrian Griffin31300.020.48-0.460.23-733-4019.314.94.4013.215.8-2.59
Scott Padgett1090.000.50-0.500.15-531-3619.516.03.5210.815.4-4.61
Bostjan Nachbar15150.000.50-0.500.12-430-3420.415.64.8213.015.3-2.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 82, NYK 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
NYK 95, CHA 1050.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
TOR 84, BOS 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%