NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	123		Excitement	2.2 [1218]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +8.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	132		Comeback	1.3 [1090]		LVP	Kevin Edwards (NJN): -9.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.24	-0.00	0.15	21	82%	0.13	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	78%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Yinka Dare	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	16	57%	-0.04	3	-0.03	14	71%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	20	49%	-0.04	4	-0.04	9	89%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	6	44%	-0.02	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	9	87%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	20	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	72%	0.03	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	8	72%	0.03	0	0.00	9	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	68%	0.01	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.00
David Wood	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	62%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	25.5	15.3	26.7	2.2	32.7	128.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.1%

MIL +4.2%

NJN -1.0%

MIL +15.3%

MIL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	15.6	125.5	134.7	104.4
season	15.4	16.0		101.7	103.9
opponent	15.5	14.9		106.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.6	17.7	11.7	12.6	14.3
MIL	14.4	14.3	17.1	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jack Haley	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-22	35	8.0	15.2	-7.16	11.9	15.6	-3.67
Joe Kleine	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-10	11	13.5	14.5	-1.06	15.8	14.9	0.95
Yinka Dare	8	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-3	-3	18.9	13.9	5.00	18.2	14.9	3.26
Eric Montross	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-1	-7	15.3	13.5	1.73	15.7	14.6	1.05
Xavier McDaniel	37	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-14	19	14.0	14.5	-0.50	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Kevin Edwards	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	5	-19	14.6	14.1	0.58	15.1	15.1	0.01
Kerry Kittles	92	92	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-9	9	14.4	13.0	1.37	15.3	12.2	3.13
Tony Massenburg	73	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.28	-23	14	-37	14.7	13.2	1.46	14.9	15.7	-0.72
Jim Jackson	82	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-10	11	14.1	15.4	-1.30	15.5	12.6	2.87
Kendall Gill	83	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	5	-19	14.2	14.5	-0.29	14.5	18.2	-3.72

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	56	56	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.30	28	-19	47	14.6	15.8	-1.15	16.4	11.5	4.87
Armen Gilliam	49	47	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.10	21	-12	33	14.9	15.3	-0.49	15.4	13.3	2.15
Ray Allen	64	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	8	-7	15.3	14.7	0.65	13.8	15.2	-1.35
Vin Baker	67	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-3	15	16.0	13.1	2.89	14.9	12.8	2.05
Sherman Douglas	47	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	7	-5	16.4	13.9	2.50	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Elliot Perry	51	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	2	5	13.9	16.4	-2.50	14.5	14.1	0.36
Chucky Brown	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	3	3	13.3	16.2	-2.86	14.5	14.2	0.28
Glenn Robinson	66	66	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	9	-9	16.0	13.2	2.84	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Joe Wolf	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	8	-7	15.4	15.0	0.38	14.5	14.3	0.20
David Wood	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	22	-35	11.6	15.6	-4.01	7.8	15.1	-7.29
Acie Earl	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	20	-31	10.3	15.6	-5.35	6.7	15.1	-8.39
Andrew Lang	17	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.20	-9	18	-27	18.3	14.4	3.86	12.6	14.7	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, CLE 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
IND 92, MIA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
DAL 88, BKN 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%