NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	88		Excitement	2.6 [1245]		MVP	DeMarre Carroll (BKN): +13.0%
Brooklyn Nets	127		Comeback	1.3 [973]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -6.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.20	0.00	0.11	7	111%	0.09	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	83%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	87%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	33%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Burke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.10	13	15%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	11	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	16	44%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.21	0.00	0.08	9	100%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.02	8	76%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	11	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	12	79%	0.05	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Pinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	27.6	15.3	25.3	1.8	23.0	123.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +45.0%

BKN +3.2%

DAL -0.7%

BKN +1.8%

BKN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BKN	NBA	DAL	BKN	NBA
this game	14.5	13.3	14.3	85.4	122.1	109.3
season	14.7	14.3		108.5	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.1		109.1	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	13.2	15.8	13.0	14.5
BKN	13.0	12.5	13.6	14.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Jackson	18	19	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-43	47	12.3	15.0	-2.71	11.7	13.7	-1.93
Trey Burke	21	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-35	31	13.7	14.7	-1.07	13.9	13.2	0.68
Salah Mejri	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.49	-17	-22	5	15.6	14.4	1.20	13.0	13.4	-0.35
Ryan Broekhoff	41	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.31	-12	-27	15	12.6	15.8	-3.12	13.5	13.2	0.33
Jalen Brunson	42	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-28	17	14.9	14.3	0.58	13.3	13.3	-0.03
Courtney Lee	42	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.29	-17	-22	5	15.8	13.6	2.19	13.3	13.3	-0.05
Dirk Nowitzki	44	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-27	15	14.6	14.5	0.09	14.1	12.8	1.34
Maxi Kleber	46	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.54	-27	-12	-15	14.7	14.3	0.41	13.1	13.5	-0.37
Dorian Finney-Smith	41	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.30	-19	-20	1	15.4	13.9	1.54	13.6	13.1	0.51
Tim Hardaway Jr.	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-26	13	13.9	15.2	-1.25	13.1	13.5	-0.42
Devin Harris	21	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.38	-23	-16	-7	14.9	14.4	0.43	14.3	13.1	1.21
Dwight Powell	71	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	-26	13	14.6	14.2	0.43	13.4	13.1	0.31
Luka Doncic	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.49	-31	-8	-23	14.8	14.0	0.81	12.7	14.2	-1.50

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	44	45	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.44	33	6	27	13.4	13.3	0.08	16.6	12.9	3.66
Spencer Dinwiddie	42	40	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.19	18	21	-3	12.9	13.6	-0.73	15.5	13.9	1.61
Ed Davis	40	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.73	36	3	33	13.1	13.5	-0.39	15.8	13.6	2.18
Allen Crabbe	56	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.82	39	0	39	12.9	13.8	-0.84	15.3	13.5	1.74
Caris LeVert	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.43	25	14	11	13.3	13.3	-0.00	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Joe Harris	61	60	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	30	-21	13.0	13.8	-0.77	14.7	14.3	0.36
D'Angelo Russell	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.45	22	17	5	13.0	13.6	-0.63	14.6	14.5	0.09
Jarrett Allen	48	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	31	-23	12.7	13.8	-1.13	14.3	14.7	-0.48
Rodions Kurucs	58	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.50	20	19	1	12.8	14.0	-1.19	13.7	15.5	-1.87
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	44	-49	15.7	12.9	2.87	11.7	15.0	-3.26
Jared Dudley	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	44	-49	15.7	12.9	2.87	11.7	15.0	-3.26
Theo Pinson	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	44	-49	15.7	12.9	2.87	11.7	15.0	-3.26
Shabazz Napier	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	39	-39	14.8	13.0	1.77	12.3	15.0	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NYK 89, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIL 69, PHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%