inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 92 Excitement1.8 [1308] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +10.0%
Miami Heat 117 Comeback1.7 [1022] LVPPaul George (IND): -8.3%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David West0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.021173%0.083-0.0100%0.00
Lance Stephenson0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.03961%0.072-0.0200%0.00
Rasual Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lavoy Allen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donald Sloan0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.00450%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ Watson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Copeland-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02646%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Roy Hibbert-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03367%-0.002-0.026100%0.01
Luis Scola-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
George Hill-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.011136%-0.062-0.00333%-0.00
Paul George-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.17-0.000.251863%-0.061-0.021080%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.150.000.051276%0.122-0.029100%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.02490%0.0800.00250%-0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.200.000.121474%0.0800.00667%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.041159%0.0300.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.023100%0.0220.002100%-0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.031254%0.0200.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.02-0.02233%0.031-0.022100%0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.082150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Oden00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.04437%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.04633%-0.022-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.13.633.917.632.53.628.4144.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.9%
MIA +4.6%
MIA +9.1%
MIA +3.1%
MIA +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game15.117.615.1104.5133.0105.2
season15.815.6102.7109.7
opponent15.815.2105.199.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.117.213.414.315.1
MIA16.620.715.418.417.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lavoy Allen10110.00-0.500.50-0.124-293311.215.6-4.4213.418.2-4.86
Donald Sloan10110.00-0.500.50-0.124-293311.215.6-4.4213.418.2-4.86
Chris Copeland3331-0.01-0.490.47-0.227-323914.015.8-1.7817.517.7-0.20
Rasual Butler1315-0.05-0.450.41-0.133-283112.915.5-2.5715.718.0-2.35
Ian Mahinmi34-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-242318.715.03.6822.017.44.60
Luis Scola1111-0.25-0.25-0.010.13-13-12-116.614.91.7420.617.23.45
CJ Watson3333-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.11-5-201515.115.1-0.0419.216.72.46
David West6262-0.33-0.17-0.160.40-250-2515.214.90.3317.517.8-0.22
Roy Hibbert5757-0.36-0.14-0.210.29-22-3-1915.913.72.1217.717.50.20
George Hill6565-0.37-0.13-0.240.45-283-3115.414.21.2717.517.9-0.41
Lance Stephenson6867-0.38-0.12-0.260.24-21-4-1715.414.21.1817.717.50.18
Paul George7573-0.45-0.05-0.410.37-283-3115.512.92.5718.015.72.35

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen44430.410.090.31-0.011411321.214.17.0915.614.60.96
LeBron James60600.370.130.25-0.4227-22916.619.8-3.1915.115.2-0.15
Norris Cole21200.340.160.18-0.16178919.617.02.6315.714.90.82
Chris Bosh52540.280.220.06-0.251871117.617.6-0.0415.714.21.48
Shane Battier40380.260.240.010.17322-1919.116.42.7714.715.4-0.66
Rashard Lewis47490.240.26-0.01-0.432322116.319.1-2.8715.514.70.80
Dwyane Wade46480.220.28-0.06-0.311871116.518.8-2.2915.814.31.54
Chris Andersen23210.220.28-0.060.02718-1119.217.12.1113.915.5-1.65
Mario Chalmers57590.160.34-0.18-0.161114-317.717.40.3515.514.31.20
James Jones11100.000.50-0.500.12-429-3313.418.2-4.8611.215.6-4.42
Udonis Haslem13130.000.50-0.500.00025-2514.918.1-3.1614.815.2-0.40
Toney Douglas15150.000.50-0.500.15-530-3517.717.60.1414.315.3-1.02
Greg Oden11100.000.50-0.500.12-429-3313.418.2-4.8611.215.6-4.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 78, LAL 1180.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
NJN 123, MIL 1320.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
ATL 102, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%