NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	5.5 [567]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): +20.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	1.6 [283]		LVP	Larry Sanders (MIL): -14.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Goudelock	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	21	55%	0.04	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	18	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.08	0.00	9	83%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.02	15	68%	0.24	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	8	88%	0.11	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	52%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.03	5	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	5	8%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	27.2	15.8	23.0	2.5	31.5	126.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +39.0%

MIL +13.6%

LAL -11.2%

MIL +15.3%

LAL -6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	17.7	15.2	15.6	101.1	114.9	102.8
season	16.2	14.6		103.8	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		103.4	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	18.7	18.0	19.0	17.7
MIL	14.5	14.0	15.4	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Morris	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	4.5	18.0	-13.55	12.0	15.2	-3.24
Matt Barnes	39	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-16	21	16.6	18.7	-2.11	14.9	15.4	-0.58
Troy Murphy	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-9	7	16.3	18.0	-1.63	11.7	15.7	-4.05
Andrew Bynum	65	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-14	17	17.7	18.0	-0.29	15.6	13.6	1.96
Jason Kapono	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-9	7	14.7	18.2	-3.44	17.7	14.8	2.91
Derek Fisher	47	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-13	15	16.8	18.8	-1.95	15.5	14.7	0.85
Kobe Bryant	77	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-12	13	17.8	17.5	0.22	15.4	13.3	2.10
Devin Ebanks	9	8	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	1	-13	20.4	17.4	3.01	13.6	15.3	-1.69
Josh McRoberts	29	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	0	-11	17.7	17.7	-0.02	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Metta World Peace	38	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	3	-17	19.8	16.2	3.66	14.6	15.5	-0.84
Andrew Goudelock	41	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	2	-15	18.8	16.8	1.95	14.7	15.5	-0.85
Pau Gasol	70	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	1	-13	18.1	16.5	1.56	15.7	13.1	2.58

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	39	41	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.04	21	-10	31	14.7	15.5	-0.76	18.3	17.2	1.13
Beno Udrih	28	29	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-5	21	13.3	16.1	-2.77	19.8	16.7	3.01
Ersan Ilyasova	42	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-3	17	15.6	14.7	0.93	18.6	16.9	1.75
Luc Mbah a Moute	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	5	1	15.2	14.8	0.41	17.8	17.5	0.24
Drew Gooden	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	6	-1	15.6	13.7	1.97	16.8	20.7	-3.92
Jon Leuer	10	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	4	3	12.2	15.5	-3.35	21.5	17.2	4.25
Shaun Livingston	58	59	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	11	-11	15.2	15.1	0.09	17.1	19.0	-1.83
Larry Sanders	24	23	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	15	-19	15.0	15.2	-0.22	18.0	17.6	0.35
Tobias Harris	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	0.0	15.3	-15.34	4.0	17.9	-13.90
Brandon Jennings	58	58	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	14	-17	16.3	12.8	3.50	17.0	19.2	-2.27
Carlos Delfino	40	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	16	-21	14.9	15.4	-0.44	17.4	18.0	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 80, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	93.8%
SAS 96, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	93.7%
SAS 91, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.83,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.5%