NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	5.5 [697]		MVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): +9.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	1.5 [1135]		LVP	Cory Alexander (SAS): -19.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Perdue	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jamie Feick	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	14	61%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	8	30%	-0.09	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	-0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.06	18	40%	-0.05	7	-0.14	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.03	0.05	22	64%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	8	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	10	57%	-0.00	3	-0.01	10	60%	-0.05
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	0.8	26.0	15.8	25.0	2.0	37.0	129.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +34.6%

LAC +3.1%

SAS -7.9%

LAC +16.7%

LAC +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.6	95.8	115.2	104.4
season	16.8	15.8		100.8	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	16.4	16.6	15.0	15.6
LAC	14.9	15.6	16.1	14.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	46	44	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.26	14	-29	43	15.0	16.2	-1.19	16.4	14.1	2.26
Greg Anderson	39	39	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-18	21	15.6	15.6	0.00	16.7	14.1	2.67
Charles Smith	24	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-17	19	18.0	14.8	3.23	15.4	15.1	0.30
Carl Herrera	55	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	-6	-3	15.6	15.5	0.07	15.7	14.6	1.07
Vinny Del Negro	65	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-9	3	16.0	14.7	1.30	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Vernon Maxwell	48	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	-3	-9	13.9	17.3	-3.42	14.8	15.6	-0.72
Jamie Feick	16	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	11.9	16.3	-4.47	13.5	15.6	-2.13
Cory Alexander	81	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	3	-21	15.8	14.5	1.28	15.0	16.4	-1.37
Will Perdue	56	53	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	3	-21	15.6	15.6	-0.00	14.1	16.7	-2.67
Dominique Wilkins	45	44	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	0.03	-23	8	-31	17.1	14.2	2.85	14.8	15.5	-0.70

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	58	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.10	27	-12	39	14.2	17.0	-2.80	15.8	15.3	0.51
Rodney Rogers	69	71	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.08	25	-10	35	14.4	17.6	-3.20	15.7	15.4	0.29
Malik Sealy	90	93	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	4	7	15.1	18.0	-2.86	15.7	10.5	5.20
Lamond Murray	32	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	4	7	14.6	15.5	-0.99	13.7	16.5	-2.77
Lorenzen Wright	59	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	7	1	15.4	14.9	0.42	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Bo Outlaw	64	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	8	-1	15.6	14.2	1.38	16.1	14.5	1.60
Pooh Richardson	8	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	16	-17	16.0	15.1	0.87	14.3	15.7	-1.39
Loy Vaught	52	52	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.28	-9	24	-33	16.0	14.2	1.78	16.7	14.2	2.48
Darrick Martin	28	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	19	-23	17.3	14.3	3.04	14.9	15.9	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.83,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.1%
MIA 73, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
IND 95, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%