NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	5.9 [602]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +28.4%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	1.1 [920]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): -16.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.25	0.05	0.03	18	77%	0.32	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Travis Diener	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Owens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	14	46%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.06	0.03	5	75%	0.04	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Marquis Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	12	31%	-0.07	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.10	0.04	21	79%	0.37	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	19	51%	0.11	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	9	70%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Demetris Nichols	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	26%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	16	41%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	29.3	15.4	28.4	1.8	28.0	130.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +28.7%

IND -3.7%

CHI +6.9%

CHI +15.9%

CHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	15.4	94.1	106.9	105.7
season	13.8	15.0		104.5	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		105.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	12.3	13.3	14.8	13.3
CHI	17.0	13.9	14.4	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	30	30	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-13	13	11.9	13.9	-2.03	15.7	15.0	0.73
Andre Owens	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	7.0	13.6	-6.56	17.2	15.1	2.12
Stephen Graham	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	11.7	13.4	-1.73	17.4	15.1	2.38
David Harrison	21	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-16	19	11.3	13.8	-2.54	14.6	15.4	-0.74
Shawne Williams	25	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-11	9	13.8	13.1	0.72	18.0	14.1	3.90
Jamaal Tinsley	63	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-6	-1	13.7	12.6	1.15	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Jeff Foster	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	14.3	11.1	3.18	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Kareem Rush	69	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-8	3	14.0	11.7	2.31	15.3	15.1	0.23
Travis Diener	38	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-7	1	12.6	13.7	-1.15	16.1	14.7	1.36
Ike Diogu	16	16	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	1	-15	11.1	13.7	-2.58	15.0	15.3	-0.26
Danny Granger	78	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	1	-15	13.3	13.4	-0.18	14.4	17.6	-3.22
Mike Dunleavy	86	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	4	-21	13.6	11.7	1.91	14.7	17.7	-3.05

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	58	58	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.00	20	-7	27	14.9	15.6	-0.71	13.4	13.2	0.15
Joakim Noah	72	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-4	21	15.3	14.9	0.40	13.0	14.0	-0.94
Andres Nocioni	91	91	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.03	16	-3	19	15.3	14.2	1.13	13.6	10.5	3.10
Thabo Sefolosha	91	91	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	3	7	15.3	14.5	0.80	13.3	13.4	-0.11
Kirk Hinrich	84	83	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	2	9	15.3	15.0	0.26	14.1	9.7	4.42
Tyrus Thomas	26	26	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	0	13	14.7	15.4	-0.76	11.5	13.9	-2.47
Aaron Gray	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	16.0	15.2	0.80	4.0	13.5	-9.48
Demetris Nichols	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	16.0	15.2	0.80	4.0	13.5	-9.48
Joe Smith	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	17	-21	14.9	15.3	-0.40	14.0	13.0	0.94
Ben Wallace	50	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.18	-10	23	-33	15.4	15.1	0.32	13.1	13.5	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 73, UTA 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
MIL 74, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%