NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	5.1 [771]		MVP	Todd MacCulloch (PHI): +5.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	1.5 [1137]		LVP	Dana Barros (DET): -21.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Michael Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.19	-0.02	0.01	32	45%	-0.13	6	-0.08	12	67%	-0.03
Dana Barros	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	11	17%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.03	0.05	29	59%	0.10	3	-0.07	16	94%	0.05
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	54%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	61%	0.04	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03
Pepe Sanchez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	29.4	14.6	27.2	2.5	31.2	130.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +33.8%

DET -1.2%

PHI +13.1%

DET -2.4%

PHI +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	15.5	95.7	114.1	100.9
season	14.3	15.7		97.9	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.2	18.0	14.3	12.9	15.1
PHI	13.6	14.7	20.9	15.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	52	53	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-22	28	13.7	16.8	-3.16	17.2	14.6	2.62
Mateen Cleaves	6	5	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-16	16	6.7	15.6	-8.98	20.4	15.8	4.57
Joe Smith	73	71	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-18	20	14.2	18.3	-4.12	16.4	15.0	1.33
Chucky Atkins	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-9	2	14.9	15.2	-0.32	15.2	17.2	-1.97
Jud Buechler	16	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-10	4	13.1	15.5	-2.42	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Jerome Williams	20	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-6	-4	17.6	14.4	3.29	14.8	16.4	-1.57
John Wallace	13	13	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-4	-8	20.3	14.2	6.10	16.2	16.1	0.09
Dana Barros	42	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-8	0	16.0	14.3	1.62	17.1	15.2	1.90
Ben Wallace	82	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-7	-2	14.9	16.2	-1.27	15.6	19.3	-3.63
Jerry Stackhouse	87	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.04	-16	0	-16	15.6	6.7	8.98	15.8	20.4	-4.57
Mikki Moore	23	24	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.04	-20	4	-24	16.4	14.6	1.82	15.7	16.2	-0.55

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	0	16	15.8	18.0	-2.21	15.1	14.9	0.16
Allen Iverson	90	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	0	16	16.0	20.5	-4.52	15.1	9.0	6.13
Aaron McKie	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	5	6	15.9	16.4	-0.53	16.0	13.0	3.00
Toni Kukoc	20	19	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	7	2	15.1	16.3	-1.18	17.9	14.3	3.56
Kevin Ollie	32	29	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	8	0	16.5	15.9	0.60	13.0	16.0	-3.05
Theo Ratliff	73	74	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	11	-6	16.4	14.7	1.69	15.1	14.9	0.21
Todd MacCulloch	14	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	9	-2	15.0	16.3	-1.27	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Pepe Sanchez	15	17	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	10	-4	15.5	16.2	-0.65	14.6	15.2	-0.51
George Lynch	71	72	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	16	-16	16.5	14.6	1.95	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Nazr Mohammed	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	20.5	16.0	4.52	5.0	15.3	-10.29
Jumaine Jones	3	4	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	19	-22	20.7	15.9	4.75	9.5	15.3	-5.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
UTA 102, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.7%
IND 96, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%