NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	4.7 [887]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +17.8%
Houston Rockets	111		Comeback	1.2 [1116]		LVP	Shelvin Mack (UTA): -11.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	12	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	133%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.20	-0.01	0.14	13	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Bolomboy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	13	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Shelvin Mack	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	6	31%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.03	-0.01	24	54%	0.18	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.01	9	76%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	16	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	19	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	28%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.7	14.6	29.6	2.7	27.2	125.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.4%

HOU +9.2%

HOU +8.1%

HOU +21.9%

HOU +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	14.8	107.4	118.1	107.7
season	16.1	13.7		108.0	113.2
opponent	14.9	15.0		108.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	16.0	14.8	15.5	15.7
HOU	12.7	15.3	15.2	15.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Withey	20	18	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-14	19	14.7	16.0	-1.30	16.8	14.2	2.58
Shelvin Mack	44	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.32	12	-21	33	15.1	16.3	-1.18	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Joe Ingles	30	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-7	5	16.5	15.4	1.08	15.0	14.6	0.36
Joel Bolomboy	6	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-2	-5	18.7	15.5	3.14	8.2	15.1	-6.91
Joe Johnson	45	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	15.8	15.6	0.22	14.1	15.3	-1.27
Rodney Hood	65	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	15.4	16.4	-0.94	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Trey Lyles	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	15.4	16.4	-1.03	15.1	13.9	1.18
Rudy Gobert	69	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	15.8	15.6	0.15	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Dante Exum	54	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	10	-29	16.4	14.8	1.62	14.9	14.5	0.38
Gordon Hayward	78	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	3	-15	15.8	15.5	0.24	14.7	14.9	-0.17

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	0	9	15.1	13.8	1.27	15.6	16.1	-0.48
Corey Brewer	29	30	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-5	19	13.0	15.5	-2.52	17.2	15.0	2.20
Clint Capela	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	3	3	15.5	13.5	2.05	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Ryan Anderson	62	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	2	5	15.3	13.7	1.65	15.3	16.5	-1.12
Patrick Beverley	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	0	9	14.4	15.2	-0.84	16.4	14.9	1.52
James Harden	68	69	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.29	-2	11	-13	14.9	14.2	0.71	15.2	17.1	-1.91
Sam Dekker	31	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	5	-1	13.8	15.2	-1.40	16.5	15.3	1.12
Nene	35	37	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	6	-3	13.5	15.5	-2.05	16.1	15.5	0.63
Trevor Ariza	62	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	14	-19	15.2	13.8	1.37	15.1	16.8	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, NJN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.73,0.77,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAL 93, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHI 83, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%