NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	4.0 [1003]		MVP	Tony Massenburg (MEM): +6.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	1.1 [702]		LVP	Matt Harpring (PHI): -14.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.04	16	76%	0.13	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damone Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	40%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.00	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	0.05	18	49%	-0.10	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	22	49%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	19	57%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	510.1	1.8	32.2	16.5	28.2	2.3	28.5	619.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +38.9%

PHI -0.8%

PHI -10.9%

MEM +22.6%

MEM +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	91.2	103.4	102.3
season	15.9	15.7		99.3	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.8	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.5	14.8	17.7	14.7	16.2
MEM	13.8	17.2	15.0	17.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	8.3	16.4	-8.10	20.5	15.7	4.78
Damone Brown	34	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-11	13	13.8	17.6	-3.83	16.4	15.5	0.89
Speedy Claxton	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-2	-5	16.8	16.0	0.86	15.9	15.8	0.10
Dikembe Mutombo	78	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-13	17	16.6	13.4	3.24	16.4	12.3	4.04
Corie Blount	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	16.4	15.6	0.81	15.7	16.1	-0.35
Vonteego Cummings	84	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	15.9	19.7	-3.85	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Matt Harpring	67	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	17.6	12.2	5.37	15.7	16.3	-0.64
Michael Ruffin	37	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.06	-17	8	-25	15.8	16.4	-0.55	15.0	16.4	-1.35
Raja Bell	67	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.21	-10	1	-11	15.9	17.0	-1.08	15.5	16.8	-1.35

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	73	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-9	27	15.8	16.2	-0.43	16.9	13.0	3.89
Pau Gasol	82	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-2	13	15.7	17.7	-2.04	16.5	13.3	3.14
Ike Austin	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	15.6	16.5	-0.90	17.0	14.2	2.76
Rodney Buford	56	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	5	-1	15.3	16.7	-1.42	15.8	16.9	-1.14
Brevin Knight	35	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	0	9	16.1	15.6	0.47	15.4	16.6	-1.20
Grant Long	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	9	-9	15.8	15.8	0.03	15.6	16.8	-1.18
Jason Williams	64	67	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.31	-6	15	-21	16.4	14.3	2.10	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Tony Massenburg	25	26	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	9	-9	16.5	15.6	0.90	14.2	17.0	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 78, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAL 93, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MEM 82, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.5%