NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	4.0 [1039]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +10.3%
San Antonio Spurs	92		Comeback	1.2 [1172]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -17.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	12	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	10	62%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	27%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	9	40%	-0.04	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	11	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	69%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	57%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	10	45%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	34.2	14.8	26.2	2.4	28.6	131.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.3%

MEM -2.9%

SAS +9.4%

SAS +4.9%

SAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	14.9	87.2	98.9	105.1
season	15.7	15.7		103.4	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.8		97.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	13.9	14.3	15.8	15.0
SAS	14.5	13.8	16.3	19.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	25	25	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-14	18	13.7	15.4	-1.71	16.3	15.6	0.67
JaMychal Green	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-9	8	15.0	14.9	0.08	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Matt Barnes	58	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-8	6	15.7	13.9	1.81	16.0	15.5	0.46
Mario Chalmers	42	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	15.9	14.2	1.63	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Vince Carter	36	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-5	0	16.6	13.9	2.69	16.4	15.4	1.00
Mike Conley	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	13.8	17.4	-3.56	16.0	15.5	0.50
Marc Gasol	78	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	14.7	16.4	-1.76	16.1	14.8	1.23
Courtney Lee	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	0	-10	15.3	14.2	1.14	15.6	16.3	-0.65
Jeff Green	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	6	-22	14.4	16.0	-1.58	15.1	17.1	-2.08

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	45	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	1	8	15.6	16.1	-0.53	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Tim Duncan	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	4	2	16.5	14.0	2.45	15.2	14.5	0.66
Kawhi Leonard	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	7	-4	16.2	14.2	1.98	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Boris Diaw	24	23	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	-1	12	13.5	16.6	-3.14	17.3	14.2	3.14
Patty Mills	37	39	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	3	4	15.5	16.0	-0.52	15.9	14.3	1.57
Danny Green	54	55	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	2	6	16.5	14.9	1.60	15.1	14.9	0.18
Tony Parker	63	63	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	9	-8	16.3	14.8	1.57	13.8	17.3	-3.45
Kyle Anderson	32	33	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	11	-12	17.0	15.2	1.83	15.7	14.6	1.11
David West	49	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	15.5	16.2	-0.76	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Rasual Butler	14	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	7	-4	12.2	16.5	-4.25	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Matt Bonner	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	1.0	16.0	-14.99	7.0	15.1	-8.06
Ray McCallum	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	1.0	16.0	-14.99	7.0	15.1	-8.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 78, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHA 105, POR 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
UTA 84, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%