NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	73		Excitement	5.6 [550]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +9.3%
Utah Jazz	85		Comeback	1.4 [614]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -25.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Larry Sanders	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.06	20	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	17	40%	-0.04	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.20	-0.05	0.00	19	21%	-0.19	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.01	-0.02	17	60%	0.14	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	7	81%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	11	37%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	41%	0.02	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	7	75%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	27.5	14.0	27.3	2.3	30.3	127.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +71.6%

MIL -0.2%

MIL -9.7%

MIL -16.4%

UTA +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.2	15.6	80.2	91.4	102.8
season	14.6	15.8		103.8	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		104.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.5	14.4	17.9	17.2	16.2
UTA	13.9	15.6	17.2	14.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	63	64	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	16.0	16.6	-0.59	15.0	15.4	-0.33
Jon Leuer	17	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-8	4	15.3	16.4	-1.07	13.9	15.5	-1.56
Luc Mbah a Moute	22	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-12	12	14.9	16.6	-1.72	15.9	14.9	1.03
Jon Brockman	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-7	2	16.3	16.2	0.13	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Ersan Ilyasova	50	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-10	8	15.6	16.9	-1.34	15.5	14.7	0.79
Drew Gooden	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-6	0	16.8	13.8	3.03	15.0	15.5	-0.46
Larry Sanders	29	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	16.2	16.1	0.11	14.6	15.4	-0.86
Stephen Jackson	68	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	0	-12	16.3	15.8	0.45	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Shaun Livingston	42	43	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.09	-13	1	-14	16.7	15.7	0.93	15.3	15.0	0.28
Brandon Jennings	86	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	2	-16	16.2	15.0	1.23	15.4	12.3	3.10

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	53	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	2	8	15.0	15.3	-0.26	15.6	17.0	-1.36
Al Jefferson	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	1	10	15.0	15.5	-0.44	16.2	16.1	0.04
Derrick Favors	42	41	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	0	12	14.4	15.8	-1.45	16.7	15.7	0.99
CJ Miles	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	7	-2	15.3	14.9	0.42	16.0	16.3	-0.28
Earl Watson	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	5	2	14.5	15.8	-1.38	15.4	17.0	-1.66
Jamaal Tinsley	12	12	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	8	-4	15.0	15.2	-0.17	19.1	15.7	3.36
Gordon Hayward	51	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	5	2	15.1	15.2	-0.12	16.1	16.3	-0.22
Josh Howard	8	8	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	6	0	11.9	15.5	-3.58	19.9	15.8	4.07
Paul Millsap	49	49	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	12	-12	15.9	14.3	1.67	15.6	16.8	-1.20
Enes Kanter	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	11	-10	15.5	15.0	0.44	16.1	16.2	-0.04
Devin Harris	34	32	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	11	-10	16.1	14.6	1.57	16.2	16.1	0.13
Jeremy Evans	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	12.5	15.2	-2.71	21.0	16.1	4.89
Raja Bell	25	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	16	-20	16.2	14.8	1.38	16.7	16.0	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 88, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
IND 95, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 108, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.71,0.8,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.59,0.76,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1	93.9%