NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	88		Excitement	4.6 [906]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOH): +13.0%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	1.1 [1148]		LVP	David West (NOH): -6.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.03	0.05	14	72%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	19	60%	0.10	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	47%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sean Marks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	47%	-0.02	1	-0.04	12	83%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.02	-0.05	11	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	19	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	16	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	0.8	30.2	15.8	26.1	1.6	28.2	126.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.7%

NOH -5.7%

UTA +4.5%

UTA +11.8%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	UTA	NBA	NOH	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	15.3	15.5	97.8	114.6	106.4
season	16.6	15.3		105.9	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.6		105.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	17.3	16.7	16.8	16.9
UTA	14.6	13.3	16.8	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-9	4	18.0	16.6	1.39	12.8	15.9	-3.07
Melvin Ely	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-8	2	17.0	16.9	0.12	12.7	15.6	-2.91
Hilton Armstrong	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-6	-2	17.2	16.8	0.43	14.7	15.5	-0.83
Sean Marks	42	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-10	6	17.9	16.0	1.86	14.6	15.8	-1.18
Peja Stojakovic	67	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-7	0	16.8	17.2	-0.38	15.7	14.1	1.58
Rasual Butler	72	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-7	0	16.4	18.7	-2.22	15.7	13.3	2.46
Chris Paul	72	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-5	-4	16.6	18.0	-1.39	15.9	12.8	3.07
David West	84	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-4	-6	16.9	17.2	-0.30	15.5	11.4	4.11
James Posey	60	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	0	-14	16.7	17.2	-0.52	15.0	15.7	-0.71

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	1	12	15.4	14.7	0.72	16.9	16.9	-0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	39	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-1	16	14.5	15.9	-1.32	18.1	16.0	2.05
Kyle Korver	42	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	7	0	13.9	16.5	-2.61	17.5	16.3	1.11
Deron Williams	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	4	6	16.0	12.6	3.39	17.0	16.6	0.37
Mehmet Okur	71	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	4	6	16.1	11.9	4.25	16.5	18.4	-1.94
Ronnie Brewer	62	63	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	8	-2	16.3	13.0	3.22	16.0	18.9	-2.86
Brevin Knight	20	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	10	-6	12.6	16.0	-3.39	16.6	17.0	-0.37
CJ Miles	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	11	-8	15.5	15.1	0.47	16.8	16.9	-0.11
Matt Harpring	21	22	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	12	-10	13.0	16.0	-2.99	18.2	16.5	1.71
Jarron Collins	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	14	-14	14.3	15.4	-1.08	15.5	17.0	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	95.0%
MIL 73, UTA 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DET 88, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%