NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	88		Excitement	5.3 [733]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +9.5%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	1.2 [1100]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -28.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	63%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mateen Cleaves	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	43%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.25,-0.26,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.20	-0.07	0.01	21	41%	-0.15	5	-0.13	12	83%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	16	59%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	9	60%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	79%	0.08	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	16	51%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.00	0.00	15	35%	-0.08	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	28.1	15.6	27.4	1.7	37.2	138.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +60.3%

DET -7.9%

NYK +5.0%

DET -14.4%

NYK +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	16.0	15.5	91.7	97.9	100.9
season	14.3	16.4		97.9	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		96.6	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.9	13.8	13.2	14.1	14.0
NYK	14.5	16.8	15.6	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	73	74	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-16	26	13.6	15.4	-1.87	16.6	14.0	2.58
Jerry Stackhouse	80	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-9	12	14.0	13.9	0.09	15.7	17.4	-1.67
Joe Smith	71	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-10	14	14.3	13.1	1.20	16.3	15.0	1.34
Brian Cardinal	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	1	-8	14.3	13.9	0.40	16.4	15.9	0.50
Chucky Atkins	55	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	13.2	15.1	-1.85	16.3	15.5	0.76
Mateen Cleaves	27	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	2	-10	14.4	13.9	0.50	16.3	15.9	0.45
Mikki Moore	32	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	1	-8	14.5	13.7	0.78	16.2	15.9	0.34
Ben Wallace	71	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-4	2	13.7	14.8	-1.01	15.8	16.5	-0.68
Dana Barros	32	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	1	-8	14.7	13.7	1.06	15.3	16.3	-1.08
Jud Buechler	17	16	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.05	-15	9	-24	14.9	13.8	1.13	12.6	16.7	-4.04

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	92	92	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-4	14	16.1	14.0	2.08	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Charlie Ward	44	44	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	1	4	16.3	15.7	0.56	14.5	13.6	0.95
Latrell Sprewell	88	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	1	4	15.8	18.1	-2.33	14.1	13.1	0.97
Glen Rice	60	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	5	-4	16.8	14.6	2.25	14.2	13.7	0.46
Allan Houston	63	65	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	5	-4	15.8	16.4	-0.62	13.5	15.1	-1.56
Othella Harrington	39	41	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	3	0	15.6	16.2	-0.59	14.9	13.4	1.47
Felton Spencer	36	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	2	2	16.1	15.9	0.19	14.2	13.9	0.35
Mark Jackson	55	54	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	4	-2	15.4	16.8	-1.38	13.4	14.8	-1.38
Travis Knight	3	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	16.0	16.0	0.01	9.0	14.2	-5.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	95.9%
BOS 87, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NOH 88, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%