NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	108		Excitement	6.0 [624]		MVP	Lee Nailon (PHI): +27.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	1.1 [1159]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -19.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	-0.00	0.02	12	79%	0.19	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.20	0.01	0.10	16	68%	0.11	0	0.00	15	80%	0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	61%	0.16	6	-0.18	7	100%	0.03
Daniel Ewing	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	10	19%	-0.09	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.10	-0.00	11	78%	0.28	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	70%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
James Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	20	55%	0.10	7	-0.18	11	91%	0.04
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	17	32%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	2.5	27.2	15.8	31.1	2.3	34.1	143.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +15.6%

PHI +4.7%

PHI +11.4%

PHI +19.2%

LAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	13.2	14.4	15.6	102.9	108.7	104.4
season	15.2	15.2		103.9	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	11.9	13.6	12.7	13.2
PHI	12.3	16.4	14.7	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	41	41	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-9	13	14.1	12.5	1.63	14.4	14.4	0.04
Quinton Ross	70	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-14	23	12.7	14.1	-1.40	15.1	13.2	1.82
Walter McCarty	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-7	9	11.9	13.6	-1.69	14.9	14.3	0.61
Chris Wilcox	10	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	2	-9	13.5	13.1	0.38	16.6	14.2	2.49
Zeljko Rebraca	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	2	-9	13.7	12.8	0.91	15.7	13.8	1.87
Sam Cassell	74	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	2	-9	13.6	12.0	1.59	15.1	12.6	2.53
Daniel Ewing	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	0	-5	12.3	13.8	-1.47	13.6	15.1	-1.44
Corey Maggette	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	13.2	13.0	0.24	13.7	15.6	-1.92
Cuttino Mobley	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	3	-11	13.1	13.3	-0.18	13.9	15.3	-1.33
Elton Brand	87	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-2	-1	13.2	13.1	0.12	13.7	17.9	-4.20

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	54	55	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-9	23	14.9	13.8	1.10	13.4	12.9	0.44
John Salmons	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	14.9	13.8	1.09	12.3	14.2	-1.88
Chris Webber	86	88	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.34	2	3	-1	13.8	17.2	-3.40	13.6	10.7	2.92
Andre Iguodala	90	91	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	5	-5	14.1	16.7	-2.66	13.1	13.8	-0.73
Kyle Korver	67	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	-3	11	13.9	15.3	-1.37	13.0	13.4	-0.31
Allen Iverson	93	95	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	7	-9	14.2	16.6	-2.49	13.1	13.5	-0.38
Kevin Ollie	14	14	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	0	5	16.7	14.1	2.66	13.8	13.1	0.73
Steven Hunter	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	3	-1	14.2	14.5	-0.33	13.7	12.8	0.82
James Thomas	19	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	13	-21	17.5	13.7	3.81	12.4	13.3	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.71,0.8,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.59,0.76,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 73, UTA 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SAS 91, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.83,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%
MIA 73, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%