NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	80		Excitement	6.5 [498]		MVP	Tony Delk (PHX): +9.4%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	1.6 [652]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -43.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	55%	0.03	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Danny Manning	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	5	47%	-0.02	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.33,-0.35,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.4,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44	-0.27	-0.17	-0.00	29	32%	-0.35	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	10	67%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	21	51%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	9	52%	0.02	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	12	28%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.02	8	41%	-0.08	6	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	7	19%	-0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	37.1	19.8	26.0	2.0	37.3	150.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.6%

PHX +8.1%

PHX +12.5%

PHX +6.2%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.5	81.6	92.8	100.9
season	16.0	14.9		105.3	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		96.2	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	14.5	15.4	13.0	15.1
PHX	12.3	14.9	14.0	16.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-9	8	14.7	15.1	-0.47	17.3	14.3	3.01
Olden Polynice	48	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-11	12	16.5	13.8	2.78	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Karl Malone	78	78	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-11	12	14.5	17.4	-2.86	15.3	10.6	4.70
John Starks	66	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-8	6	15.2	15.0	0.18	13.8	15.6	-1.76
John Stockton	58	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-13	16	14.1	16.6	-2.50	15.3	13.0	2.37
Donyell Marshall	87	85	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-9	8	15.0	15.9	-0.89	15.4	7.2	8.17
Danny Manning	23	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	0	-10	17.2	14.5	2.74	11.5	15.3	-3.77
Jacque Vaughn	40	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	3	-16	16.6	14.1	2.50	13.0	15.3	-2.37
Greg Ostertag	29	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	14.9	15.2	-0.32	15.5	14.0	1.48
Bryon Russell	58	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.12	-19	9	-28	14.1	16.6	-2.45	13.8	15.3	-1.47

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	45	45	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-5	20	14.5	14.3	0.18	14.6	15.6	-1.05
Tony Delk	59	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-2	14	13.8	15.3	-1.53	15.3	14.9	0.42
Shawn Marion	86	86	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	4	2	14.5	13.9	0.57	15.4	13.2	2.23
Jason Kidd	88	88	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	5	0	14.3	15.8	-1.51	14.7	18.7	-3.98
Vinny Del Negro	30	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	3	4	16.1	13.7	2.40	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Clifford Robinson	60	60	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	6	-2	13.1	16.5	-3.40	15.3	14.8	0.46
Tom Gugliotta	30	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	6	-2	15.2	14.1	1.14	14.6	15.3	-0.70
Mario Elie	23	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	9	-8	14.0	14.5	-0.48	16.8	14.5	2.25
Jake Tsakalidis	63	63	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	16	-22	15.4	12.5	2.90	15.6	14.3	1.35
Chris Dudley	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	8	-6	1.0	14.6	-13.55	13.0	15.1	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.8%
LAL 89, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
SAS 91, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.83,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%