NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	5.2 [752]		MVP	Andre Miller (PHI): +23.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.6 [424]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (SAS): -8.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.19	-0.00	0.05	16	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	12	76%	0.20	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Fabricio Oberto	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.04	7	71%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	23%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	14	46%	-0.03	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.27	0.01	0.05	14	82%	0.24	0	0.00	11	91%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	18	62%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	44%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.05
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	28.2	15.8	28.1	2.6	37.2	139.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +13.5%

PHI +3.8%

PHI +22.2%

PHI +10.9%

SAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.4	110.3	117.0	105.7
season	16.5	15.2		104.7	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.3		104.2	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	16.7	19.7	13.5	16.5
PHI	12.8	16.8	17.2	19.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	15	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-10	13	16.3	16.5	-0.18	18.2	16.0	2.15
Matt Bonner	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-5	3	16.3	16.6	-0.24	18.6	15.4	3.19
Kurt Thomas	42	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	18.4	14.7	3.62	15.9	16.9	-0.96
Tim Duncan	61	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-10	13	15.9	17.8	-1.94	16.3	16.8	-0.46
Damon Stoudamire	15	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	3	-13	17.1	16.3	0.79	14.4	16.8	-2.45
Tony Parker	64	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-7	7	16.5	16.5	-0.05	16.6	16.0	0.58
Manu Ginobili	71	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-7	7	15.5	20.6	-5.08	16.4	16.7	-0.39
Fabricio Oberto	23	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	3	-13	18.0	15.9	2.12	16.0	16.6	-0.58
Michael Finley	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	1	-9	16.1	17.1	-0.99	15.9	17.1	-1.25
Bruce Bowen	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	16.6	16.2	0.39	16.5	16.3	0.19

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	49	48	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-7	21	17.0	15.7	1.37	16.0	17.1	-1.12
Lou Williams	42	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	1	5	17.5	15.4	2.13	15.0	17.8	-2.71
Samuel Dalembert	66	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	3	1	16.4	16.5	-0.03	16.6	16.2	0.34
Thaddeus Young	31	31	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-9	25	16.1	16.6	-0.57	17.3	16.0	1.30
Andre Miller	78	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	7	-7	16.5	16.0	0.49	16.7	15.0	1.68
Andre Iguodala	77	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	9	-11	16.2	18.1	-1.90	16.2	18.3	-2.05
Jason Smith	19	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	3	1	15.2	16.8	-1.56	16.3	16.5	-0.24
Kevin Ollie	6	6	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.06	6	1	5	15.7	16.5	-0.82	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Reggie Evans	36	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	10	-13	16.2	16.6	-0.31	17.7	15.6	2.11
Willie Green	36	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.18	-10	17	-27	16.0	16.7	-0.78	17.1	16.0	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 115, TOR 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.99,1	94.4%
CHA 91, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,0.99,1,1	94.2%
POR 112, HOU 121	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1	94.0%