NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	6.7 [518]		MVP	Chris Paul (HOU): +21.7%
Houston Rockets	121		Comeback	1.1 [1159]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): -14.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.04	0.03	11	72%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
CJ McCollum	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	16	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.08
Damian Lillard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.06	16	66%	0.10	2	-0.05	12	83%	-0.01
Zach Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	41%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	13	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.00	29	56%	0.27	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.02	-0.01	23	60%	0.23	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	8	72%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.08	0.02	9	57%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	32.7	14.7	29.5	2.4	33.5	141.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.6%

HOU +16.1%

HOU +4.6%

POR -2.6%

POR -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	13.9	14.7	110.9	119.8	107.5
season	15.2	14.6		107.8	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.3		105.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.1	14.0	15.2	12.4	14.6
HOU	13.6	12.1	14.7	15.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-5	1	15.9	14.4	1.50	11.7	14.3	-2.62
Jusuf Nurkic	39	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	16.2	13.6	2.56	14.9	13.2	1.69
Pat Connaughton	33	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-1	-7	15.1	14.4	0.68	13.2	14.2	-1.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-7	5	14.6	14.7	-0.14	14.1	13.5	0.56
Zach Collins	30	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-2	-5	16.4	13.9	2.47	14.0	13.8	0.16
Shabazz Napier	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	14.0	15.3	-1.29	13.1	14.7	-1.62
Damian Lillard	65	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-5	1	14.6	14.6	-0.01	14.3	13.2	1.09
Ed Davis	58	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-7	5	14.2	15.2	-1.00	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Evan Turner	66	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-5	1	14.3	15.3	-1.09	14.4	12.9	1.55
CJ McCollum	79	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-6	3	13.8	17.5	-3.72	14.0	13.6	0.39

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	13.4	14.9	-1.49	15.2	13.6	1.58
PJ Tucker	65	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	0	9	13.2	15.2	-2.00	14.3	15.1	-0.76
Ryan Anderson	72	72	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	1	7	14.0	13.6	0.46	14.9	14.1	0.79
Chris Paul	70	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	5	-1	14.2	13.3	0.90	13.7	16.9	-3.18
Clint Capela	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	0	9	15.1	12.8	2.37	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Eric Gordon	69	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	4	1	14.2	13.3	0.88	15.3	13.4	1.89
Trevor Ariza	85	85	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	10	-11	14.0	13.4	0.53	14.3	16.3	-1.99
Tarik Black	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	7	-5	12.8	14.4	-1.60	15.4	14.3	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 75, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.79,0.9,0.99,1	95.0%
UTA 85, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SEA 113, HOU 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	94.2%