NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	75		Excitement	5.1 [811]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DET): +11.4%
Detroit Pistons	83		Comeback	1.2 [1033]		LVP	Chris Douglas-Roberts (NJN): -8.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eduardo Najera	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	13	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.07	0.04	13	70%	0.11	3	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
Bobby Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.02	14	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.07	4	-0.12	10	70%	-0.00
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.10	-0.02	17	49%	0.15	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	10	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.05
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.04	-0.03	12	41%	0.05	5	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	70%	0.06	5	-0.12	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	32.4	16.7	25.0	2.6	35.4	140.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +51.7%

NJN -8.6%

DET +10.8%

NJN -6.5%

DET +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	18.5	15.5	90.4	100.0	106.4
season	16.0	16.9		106.5	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		106.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.5	17.0	15.7	13.8	16.2
DET	15.8	20.9	17.8	19.5	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-5	2	17.5	15.7	1.83	17.9	18.7	-0.83
Yi Jianlian	56	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-13	18	16.2	16.2	0.03	18.9	17.5	1.45
Maurice Ager	7	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-1	-6	14.3	16.4	-2.14	15.8	18.7	-2.83
Bobby Simmons	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-4	0	17.6	14.9	2.72	18.1	18.8	-0.64
Josh Boone	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	0	-8	16.4	16.2	0.25	15.5	19.4	-3.90
Trenton Hassell	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-7	6	13.0	17.7	-4.70	19.5	18.0	1.52
Jarvis Hayes	63	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-8	8	16.2	16.3	-0.08	19.0	17.0	1.95
Chris Douglas-Roberts	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	2	-12	16.2	16.2	-0.00	16.2	19.2	-2.97
Devin Harris	67	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-9	10	16.4	15.7	0.61	18.9	16.1	2.87
Brook Lopez	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-8	8	16.2	16.4	-0.25	19.4	15.5	3.90
Eduardo Najera	27	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	5	-18	16.2	16.2	-0.03	17.5	18.9	-1.45

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	0	8	18.9	14.1	4.71	16.1	18.0	-1.95
Tayshaun Prince	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	2	4	18.7	16.2	2.44	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Arron Afflalo	51	52	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-1	10	19.3	17.1	2.17	15.2	18.0	-2.76
Jason Maxiell	41	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-2	12	19.4	17.5	1.84	16.0	16.5	-0.50
Rodney Stuckey	72	73	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	5	-2	17.6	24.3	-6.70	16.1	17.1	-0.98
Kwame Brown	36	37	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	1	6	18.2	18.7	-0.51	17.5	15.2	2.25
Amir Johnson	46	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	12	-16	17.9	19.1	-1.22	16.4	16.1	0.35
Rasheed Wallace	17	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	5	-2	17.7	18.7	-0.95	18.7	15.7	3.03
Walter Herrmann	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	9	-10	2.0	18.7	-16.66	0.0	16.2	-16.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.79,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 112, HOU 121	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1	95.0%
SAS 94, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.5%
IND 80, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%