NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	113		Excitement	5.4 [443]		MVP	Sam Mack (HOU): +22.1%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	1.1 [702]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -12.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.04	0.03	12	92%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.02	0.02	17	76%	0.17	1	0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	0.01	0.02	24	45%	0.01	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.04	0.02	12	87%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.08	-0.02	10	65%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	15	69%	0.18	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	18	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	15	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	30.1	16.5	22.5	2.5	29.0	126.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.5%

HOU +6.3%

SEA -0.5%

HOU +2.9%

SEA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.8	117.7	126.3	99.6
season	15.4	16.0		102.4	103.1
opponent	15.6	15.9		100.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.1	16.7	15.2	14.1	15.0
HOU	13.6	15.3	16.1	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	12.7	15.1	-2.39	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Dale Ellis	51	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-13	19	15.1	14.9	0.21	14.2	16.2	-1.97
Detlef Schrempf	87	86	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-8	9	15.0	14.3	0.71	15.5	11.7	3.88
Jelani McCoy	16	15	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	2	-11	16.9	14.6	2.27	13.1	15.6	-2.43
Hersey Hawkins	68	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.24	-2	-5	3	15.2	14.5	0.73	15.5	14.4	1.17
Don MacLean	46	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	1	-9	14.5	15.4	-0.92	16.0	14.3	1.66
Olden Polynice	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	14.8	15.6	-0.85	16.0	12.5	3.43
John Crotty	46	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	2	-11	15.5	14.5	0.96	13.8	16.4	-2.62
Gary Payton	89	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.6	20.0	-5.42	15.0	17.2	-2.12

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	50	51	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-7	21	14.6	15.9	-1.31	15.3	14.7	0.59
Charles Barkley	74	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	2	3	16.2	11.7	4.45	14.5	16.7	-2.27
Bryce Drew	43	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-6	19	13.9	16.2	-2.32	15.3	14.7	0.62
Cuttino Mobley	79	80	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.26	2	5	-3	14.9	16.5	-1.59	15.2	13.8	1.40
Scottie Pippen	83	84	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.39	-5	12	-17	15.2	15.2	0.01	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Michael Dickerson	55	53	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	2	3	15.9	14.2	1.69	14.8	15.2	-0.46
Hakeem Olajuwon	74	76	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	11	-15	15.6	13.8	1.82	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Antoine Carr	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	4	-1	14.2	15.3	-1.09	16.7	14.8	1.92
Matt Bullard	7	7	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	5	-3	11.6	15.5	-3.89	16.0	14.9	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.0%
MIL 97, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DAL 95, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%