NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	4.0 [808]		MVP	James Harden (OKC): +11.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Comeback	1.3 [824]		LVP	T.J. Ford (SAS): -10.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiago Splitter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	71%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Gary Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.01	0.09	12	69%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	10	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Ike Diogu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	13	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	8	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.13	1	-0.01	9	67%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	7	86%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	5	82%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.03	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	13	46%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	9	75%	0.14	5	-0.14	10	100%	0.05
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	32.5	14.5	27.1	2.5	24.6	128.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +37.9%

OKC +11.2%

OKC +7.1%

SAS -8.1%

OKC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.3	15.6	99.0	110.2	102.8
season	15.3	14.7		109.1	107.9
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.9	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.8	14.6	16.4	12.5	15.3
OKC	14.3	12.5	12.9	17.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-23	34	12.8	15.8	-3.01	18.7	13.2	5.47
DeJuan Blair	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.01	-4	-8	4	17.5	14.1	3.39	13.6	14.6	-1.02
Richard Jefferson	41	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-8	4	15.9	14.9	0.98	12.7	15.3	-2.51
James Anderson	34	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-12	12	14.2	15.9	-1.71	15.4	13.6	1.84
Tony Parker	48	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-9	6	16.4	14.2	2.23	14.4	14.2	0.19
Tim Duncan	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-7	2	15.8	14.7	1.11	13.1	15.4	-2.22
Danny Green	43	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-10	8	13.3	16.9	-3.57	15.0	13.7	1.30
Matt Bonner	24	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-1	-10	16.6	14.8	1.78	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Gary Neal	53	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-14	16	15.8	14.7	1.03	16.3	11.9	4.38
Kawhi Leonard	70	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-8	4	14.4	17.6	-3.19	14.2	14.4	-0.23
T.J. Ford	30	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	6	-24	14.9	15.5	-0.56	11.5	15.5	-4.01
Tiago Splitter	40	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.21	-22	10	-32	15.4	15.2	0.19	13.4	14.9	-1.49

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	45	43	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.19	19	-7	26	14.0	14.5	-0.43	16.0	14.8	1.19
Thabo Sefolosha	48	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-1	14	12.8	15.7	-2.91	16.4	14.2	2.19
Kevin Durant	58	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	-2	16	13.1	15.9	-2.74	16.1	14.1	2.03
Daequan Cook	45	43	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	6	0	15.6	13.1	2.53	14.4	16.0	-1.65
Reggie Jackson	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	8	-4	15.5	13.1	2.37	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Serge Ibaka	43	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	6	0	13.4	14.9	-1.45	16.8	14.0	2.84
Russell Westbrook	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	4	4	13.1	15.5	-2.37	15.9	14.6	1.29
Nazr Mohammed	14	15	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	4	4	14.5	14.2	0.29	16.4	15.1	1.31
Kendrick Perkins	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	8	-4	12.9	15.3	-2.36	15.8	14.9	0.90
James Harden	45	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.16	10	2	8	14.0	14.5	-0.51	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Lazar Hayward	26	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.30	-10	22	-32	16.6	13.4	3.21	12.5	16.1	-3.63
Cole Aldrich	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	23	-34	19.2	13.4	5.79	11.3	15.9	-4.60
Royal Ivey	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	23	-34	18.8	13.6	5.22	11.7	15.8	-4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	96.2%
UTA 96, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,1	95.9%
ATL 72, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%