NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	4.2 [767]		MVP	Jonas Jerebko (DET): +15.4%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.3 [482]		LVP	Austin Daye (DET): -6.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	14	46%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.03
George Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	11	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Paul George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	5	54%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	34%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.02	14	65%	0.16	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	68%	0.13	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	12	54%	0.08	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.02	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	13	46%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	30.5	16.5	24.4	3.3	36.3	138.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +49.8%

IND -8.3%

DET +9.6%

IND -5.8%

DET +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	16.4	15.6	94.6	104.3	102.8
season	15.7	16.3		104.2	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	15.5	15.9	13.9	14.7
DET	15.7	15.8	15.4	18.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-1	-6	12.8	15.2	-2.41	15.2	16.7	-1.44
Lance Stephenson	14	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-1	-6	13.3	15.0	-1.70	15.3	16.6	-1.37
Dahntay Jones	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-1	-6	13.7	15.1	-1.44	16.0	16.6	-0.51
Paul George	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.43	7	-15	22	14.9	14.5	0.39	17.3	14.5	2.77
David West	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	15.8	13.8	2.06	15.9	16.9	-0.92
Roy Hibbert	50	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	2	-12	15.4	13.9	1.49	15.3	17.6	-2.30
George Hill	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-4	0	14.1	15.8	-1.67	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Tyler Hansbrough	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.20	-3	-5	2	14.2	15.5	-1.31	17.2	15.4	1.79
Danny Granger	72	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	15.0	13.8	1.25	16.6	15.6	1.03
Darren Collison	69	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-5	2	15.2	13.2	2.00	16.6	16.0	0.51

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	67	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-5	18	15.9	17.8	-1.85	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Jonas Jerebko	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-2	12	16.3	16.6	-0.26	15.8	11.3	4.50
Rodney Stuckey	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	6	-4	16.7	15.2	1.58	15.3	12.8	2.46
Greg Monroe	63	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	1	6	16.8	15.6	1.26	15.1	14.0	1.15
Tayshaun Prince	71	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	6	-4	16.6	15.7	0.97	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Brandon Knight	44	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	7	-6	16.6	16.2	0.43	13.9	15.5	-1.59
Austin Daye	10	11	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	0	8	15.1	16.6	-1.47	15.9	14.6	1.34
Ben Wallace	20	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	2	4	15.1	16.8	-1.68	13.3	15.1	-1.81
Jason Maxiell	26	27	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	6	-4	15.6	16.7	-1.11	13.1	15.4	-2.23
Damien Wilkins	17	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	19	-30	17.8	16.1	1.73	13.7	15.0	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 96, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,1	95.9%
BOS 83, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%