inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 72 Excitement3.9 [1036] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +16.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 99 Comeback1.5 [1199] LVPAnderson Varejao (CLE): -7.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Bibby0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.130.000.041095%0.173-0.0800%0.00
Josh Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.021555%0.042-0.041060%-0.03
Solomon Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0000.0020%0.00
Acie Law0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.02643%-0.0300.00250%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.04217%-0.002-0.03250%-0.01
Ronald Murray-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.13-0.01-0.10925%-0.023-0.03250%-0.02
Zaza Pachulia-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00540%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.021055%0.055-0.1100%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.170.020.032069%0.233-0.07989%0.02
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.160.030.061275%0.1400.00475%-0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.031154%0.092-0.062100%0.01
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03558%0.0000.00250%0.00
Tarence Kinsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darnell Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.000.02367%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.0440%-0.0400.0020%-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00930%-0.041-0.02560%-0.01
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.00825%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.531.419.730.23.729.3145.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +3.6%
CLE +11.6%
CLE +16.2%
CLE +17.5%
CLE +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCLENBAATLCLENBA
this game17.117.815.586.7120.7106.4
season15.816.9106.7110.6
opponent15.216.1101.0106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL18.117.514.718.517.1
CLE17.017.618.218.417.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Solomon Jones770.00-0.500.500.15-5-221718.117.01.1620.317.62.69
Mario West550.00-0.500.500.09-3-242118.017.00.9719.817.72.10
Acie Law770.00-0.500.500.15-5-221718.117.01.1620.317.62.69
Maurice Evans3435-0.15-0.350.210.15-10-17717.916.51.3519.316.82.49
Zaza Pachulia3436-0.21-0.290.070.11-11-16516.717.3-0.5918.317.50.80
Ronald Murray5554-0.27-0.23-0.050.37-22-5-1717.416.50.8817.518.5-1.07
Mike Bibby6261-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-15317.216.90.3017.818.0-0.17
Josh Smith7070-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-15-12-317.017.7-0.7217.619.0-1.37
Marvin Williams2321-0.37-0.13-0.230.10-16-11-517.416.90.4817.218.0-0.79
Al Horford4845-0.39-0.11-0.280.14-18-9-916.917.3-0.4017.218.6-1.49
Joe Johnson7069-0.47-0.03-0.450.05-18-9-916.420.8-4.3717.420.2-2.85

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Delonte West67700.53-0.030.56-0.062071317.320.1-2.7416.918.3-1.45
Mo Williams63630.380.120.26-0.212071318.017.30.7417.416.01.43
LeBron James61600.340.160.19-0.041314-117.818.0-0.1716.219.3-3.13
Joe Smith32330.310.190.12-0.282071317.618.0-0.3418.816.02.83
Anderson Varejao48470.290.210.08-0.061215-317.718.0-0.3416.118.3-2.16
Zydrunas Ilgauskas49490.240.26-0.030.12423-1917.817.80.0215.519.4-3.89
Wally Szczerbiak18200.190.31-0.11-0.161215-319.317.41.9316.817.2-0.37
Ben Wallace25260.160.34-0.18-0.191215-317.617.9-0.3919.715.93.74
Sasha Pavlovic20200.040.46-0.43-0.291116-518.417.60.8217.916.81.07
Daniel Gibson17170.020.48-0.45-0.12522-1717.018.0-1.0518.616.71.89
Tarence Kinsey550.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2119.817.72.1018.017.00.97
Darnell Jackson550.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2119.817.72.1018.017.00.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 89, CLE 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
SAS 96, OKC 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
SAS 93, IND 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%