NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	93		Excitement	3.7 [1085]		MVP	Robert Horry (SAS): +9.4%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.4 [1028]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -10.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.01	0.06	6	107%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	10	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Glover	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Tony Parker	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	13	40%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	13	62%	0.09	2	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	72%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	9	82%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	6	58%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	17	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.5	28.3	14.8	26.8	1.6	37.7	142.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.3%

IND +6.9%

IND +7.6%

SAS -1.5%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	IND	NBA	SAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	18.1	15.5	109.4	113.6	104.0
season	16.3	16.8		105.8	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.6	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	16.1	16.6	13.7	15.2
IND	17.5	18.1	17.7	19.0	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Marks	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.30	10	-17	27	11.2	15.8	-4.59	19.5	17.9	1.58
Dion Glover	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.33	11	-18	29	12.5	16.3	-3.82	19.2	17.6	1.64
Nazr Mohammed	29	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.41	13	-20	33	13.2	16.2	-2.94	19.0	17.6	1.46
Beno Udrih	39	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-14	21	13.5	16.6	-3.03	19.2	17.1	2.16
Tony Massenburg	12	13	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	4	-15	16.0	15.0	0.96	19.3	17.9	1.45
Robert Horry	43	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	16.5	13.8	2.66	17.6	18.6	-1.05
Brent Barry	61	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-4	1	14.7	16.3	-1.61	17.8	18.8	-0.97
Manu Ginobili	46	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	6	-19	15.2	15.2	0.04	18.1	18.0	0.08
Bruce Bowen	59	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	3	-13	16.4	12.3	4.08	18.0	18.1	-0.11
Tony Parker	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	8	-23	16.6	12.4	4.14	17.0	19.9	-2.94
Rasho Nesterovic	44	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	12	-31	16.1	14.2	1.85	17.3	18.9	-1.65

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	63	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	1	5	17.7	19.1	-1.41	14.9	15.7	-0.74
Reggie Miller	68	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-5	17	17.4	20.3	-2.95	15.3	14.7	0.56
Anthony Johnson	72	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	8	-9	17.8	19.3	-1.52	15.0	15.9	-0.99
Stephen Jackson	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	3	1	17.7	18.7	-0.98	15.6	14.2	1.47
Jeff Foster	42	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	-3	13	18.3	17.8	0.46	15.6	14.8	0.79
Dale Davis	50	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.43	-8	15	-23	18.0	18.1	-0.07	14.5	16.0	-1.44
James Jones	53	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	9	-11	18.4	17.6	0.78	14.1	16.7	-2.52
Scot Pollard	15	17	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-1	9	21.0	17.5	3.53	17.5	14.6	2.87
Eddie Gill	18	21	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	1	5	20.3	17.5	2.85	16.1	14.9	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DAL 65, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHX 107, LAL 128	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%