NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	65		Excitement	3.4 [1075]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +12.1%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.5 [1222]		LVP	Erick Strickland (DAL): -14.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	11	52%	0.06	4	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Greg Dreiling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Sasser	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	-0.06	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.01
Martin Muursepp	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	7	30%	-0.05	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Michael Finley	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	15	38%	-0.08	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	10	33%	-0.06	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	13	74%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	77%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	58%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	40%	-0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	28.1	14.8	24.2	2.3	23.7	116.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.0%

UTA +4.5%

DAL -6.3%

UTA +15.1%

DAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	19.2	16.6	15.6	80.2	120.0	104.4
season	15.9	15.6		99.1	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.7		102.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	19.9	21.5	16.4	19.3	19.2
UTA	12.0	18.5	17.9	18.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Sasser	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-27	23	20.6	19.1	1.48	18.2	16.4	1.76
Samaki Walker	32	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.39	-14	-17	3	19.1	19.3	-0.24	19.3	14.8	4.53
Greg Dreiling	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-23	15	19.3	19.2	0.14	16.4	16.6	-0.19
Martin Muursepp	39	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.35	-21	-10	-11	18.8	19.6	-0.75	16.6	16.5	0.09
Erick Strickland	65	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.41	-25	-6	-19	18.7	21.4	-2.78	17.7	10.8	6.90
Khalid Reeves	60	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-17	3	19.9	17.2	2.73	15.1	20.8	-5.71
Shawn Bradley	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.28	-23	-8	-15	19.2	19.3	-0.14	16.6	16.4	0.19
A.C. Green	53	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-16	1	20.2	17.3	2.89	15.2	19.3	-4.09
Michael Finley	70	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.32	-31	0	-31	18.5	23.5	-4.91	16.4	17.5	-1.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	52	53	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	10	11	14.9	19.6	-4.65	18.5	20.6	-2.14
Karl Malone	56	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.11	21	10	11	15.4	19.3	-3.98	18.3	21.6	-3.29
Bryon Russell	46	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	11	9	14.7	19.0	-4.31	18.7	19.9	-1.13
Greg Ostertag	47	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.25	21	10	11	16.0	17.3	-1.33	18.2	20.7	-2.55
Howard Eisley	31	31	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.29	21	10	11	17.1	16.2	0.89	17.9	20.0	-2.17
John Stockton	49	50	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	21	-11	16.2	17.1	-0.89	20.0	17.9	2.17
Greg Foster	14	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	27	-23	16.6	16.5	0.03	21.9	18.7	3.20
Stephen Howard	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	31	-31	15.3	16.7	-1.37	19.7	19.2	0.51
Chris Morris	34	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.29	11	20	-9	19.0	14.7	4.31	19.9	18.7	1.13
Adam Keefe	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	25	-19	20.2	16.0	4.17	20.1	19.1	1.01
Antoine Carr	24	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	21	-11	19.3	15.4	3.98	21.6	18.3	3.29
Shandon Anderson	28	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.30	10	21	-11	19.6	14.9	4.65	20.6	18.5	2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 82, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
IND 73, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SEA 95, SAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%