inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 65 Excitement3.4 [1075] MVPKarl Malone (UTA): +12.1%
Utah Jazz 96 Comeback1.5 [1222] LVPErick Strickland (DAL): -14.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khalid Reeves0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.01-0.061152%0.064-0.0610%-0.02
Greg Dreiling0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Sasser0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02233%-0.0000.002100%0.00
A.C. Green-0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01669%0.042-0.041100%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.02-0.061346%-0.012-0.00250%0.01
Martin Muursepp-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.05730%-0.051-0.01667%-0.01
Michael Finley-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.031538%-0.084-0.06475%-0.01
Erick Strickland-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.011033%-0.063-0.09450%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.020.041374%0.1200.0010%-0.02
Jeff Hornacek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.011077%0.121-0.022100%0.01
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01667%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.02-0.03658%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00480%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Stephen Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Adam Keefe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01643%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Antoine Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02633%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Chris Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.05650%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.04-0.021242%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.01640%-0.043-0.06367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.11.828.114.824.22.323.7116.9
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +37.0%
UTA +4.5%
DAL -6.3%
UTA +15.1%
DAL -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALUTANBADALUTANBA
this game19.216.615.680.2120.0104.4
season15.915.699.1110.8
opponent16.015.7102.2105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL19.921.516.419.319.2
UTA12.018.517.918.616.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Sasser550.00-0.500.500.12-4-272320.619.11.4818.216.41.76
Samaki Walker3231-0.02-0.480.460.39-14-17319.119.3-0.2419.314.84.53
Greg Dreiling2626-0.11-0.390.290.13-8-231519.319.20.1416.416.6-0.19
Martin Muursepp3935-0.27-0.23-0.030.35-21-10-1118.819.6-0.7516.616.50.09
Erick Strickland6567-0.32-0.18-0.140.41-25-6-1918.721.4-2.7817.710.86.90
Khalid Reeves6059-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-14-17319.917.22.7315.120.8-5.71
Shawn Bradley5554-0.39-0.11-0.290.28-23-8-1519.219.3-0.1416.616.40.19
A.C. Green5353-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-15-16120.217.32.8915.219.3-4.09
Michael Finley7070-0.590.09-0.680.32-310-3118.523.5-4.9116.417.5-1.09

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Hornacek52530.50-0.000.51-0.1121101114.919.6-4.6518.520.6-2.14
Karl Malone56580.50-0.000.50-0.1121101115.419.3-3.9818.321.6-3.29
Bryon Russell46480.470.030.44-0.122011914.719.0-4.3118.719.9-1.13
Greg Ostertag47490.370.130.23-0.2521101116.017.3-1.3318.220.7-2.55
Howard Eisley31310.330.170.15-0.2921101117.116.20.8917.920.0-2.17
John Stockton49500.170.33-0.15-0.121021-1116.217.1-0.8920.017.92.17
Greg Foster14140.100.40-0.30-0.02427-2316.616.50.0321.918.73.20
Stephen Howard990.030.47-0.430.03031-3115.316.7-1.3719.719.20.51
Chris Morris34330.030.47-0.44-0.291120-919.014.74.3119.918.71.13
Adam Keefe1090.000.50-0.50-0.18625-1920.216.04.1720.119.11.01
Antoine Carr2423-0.000.50-0.50-0.291021-1119.315.43.9821.618.33.29
Shandon Anderson2828-0.000.50-0.51-0.301021-1119.614.94.6520.618.52.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 82, PHI 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.8%
IND 73, NYK 870.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
SEA 95, SAS 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%