inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 95 Excitement4.3 [970] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +20.2%
San Antonio Spurs 104 Comeback1.6 [944] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -10.1%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Ridnour0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.020.04875%0.081-0.024100%0.01
Rashard Lewis0.010,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.031247%0.063-0.05887%0.02
Mike Wilks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02175%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Noel Felix0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01150%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Johan Petro-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.000.04580%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Swift-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00543%-0.011-0.01450%-0.02
Ray Allen-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.011350%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Earl Watson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.001435%-0.061-0.013100%0.01
Chris Wilcox-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.011136%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Nick Collison-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.031538%-0.013-0.07425%-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.100.05-0.061971%0.264-0.0500%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.020.031077%0.123-0.062100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.02-0.00-0.03683%0.103-0.0600%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.01643%0.0100.002100%0.01
Melvin Sanders0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.0520%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01658%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.020.041267%0.063-0.0800%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.011837%-0.053-0.051250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.728.217.326.31.830.2131.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +52.3%
SEA -7.0%
SAS +10.0%
SEA -4.3%
SEA -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEASASNBASEASASNBA
this game13.715.915.696.9107.2104.4
season15.016.3108.9106.0
opponent15.615.899.4112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA14.713.213.413.313.7
SAS13.615.616.018.815.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Noel Felix88-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-162310.713.9-3.1617.515.81.75
Mike Wilks1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.248-172511.213.9-2.7320.015.44.57
Mikki Moore1212-0.01-0.490.49-0.217-162311.114.0-2.9319.715.44.40
Damien Wilkins2829-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-8713.713.60.0415.216.2-1.03
Chris Wilcox5049-0.21-0.290.090.06-90-914.013.30.6315.516.3-0.78
Johan Petro1517-0.21-0.290.080.08-101-1114.713.51.2816.815.71.12
Robert Swift5151-0.25-0.25-0.000.04-101-1113.813.50.2714.617.3-2.64
Nick Collison4947-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.28-1-8713.713.60.0416.115.70.45
Earl Watson5150-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-145-1914.313.01.3015.416.5-1.11
Luke Ridnour8077-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.340-9913.116.0-2.8716.114.91.19
Ray Allen6465-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.02-112-1313.913.20.6416.414.91.48
Rashard Lewis7270-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-112-1314.112.31.8315.217.6-2.40

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen71720.440.060.38-0.1219-102916.115.50.5914.012.61.41
Tim Duncan67690.400.100.29-0.1920-113116.714.12.6014.411.82.64
Tony Parker62620.380.120.260.1190914.318.7-4.3213.613.7-0.15
Michael Finley57570.320.180.140.0690915.516.4-0.9013.913.30.62
Fabricio Oberto24230.220.28-0.060.25-110-1114.316.4-2.1312.913.9-0.97
Brent Barry55580.200.30-0.11-0.0481716.614.91.7114.412.61.82
Nazr Mohammed40410.200.30-0.11-0.0790916.815.31.4913.913.50.34
Nick Van Exel43440.180.32-0.140.0936-316.915.11.7313.513.8-0.32
Rasho Nesterovic45440.170.33-0.150.32-514-1914.617.1-2.5012.814.3-1.52
Beno Udrih880.000.50-0.500.21-716-2317.515.81.7510.713.9-3.16
Melvin Sanders870.000.50-0.500.29-1019-2917.515.81.758.714.0-5.32
Sean Marks55-0.000.50-0.500.26-918-2717.615.81.808.813.9-5.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 65, UTA 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
LAC 83, DET 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
SAS 79, PHX 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%