NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	82		Excitement	3.6 [865]		MVP	Lavoy Allen (PHI): +9.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.7 [440]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -10.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.01	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.05	14	62%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
John Lucas III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	17	49%	0.05	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Joakim Noah	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.02	0.07	12	63%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	13	68%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	15	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	12	44%	0.02	4	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	18.4	2.7	26.7	15.0	25.0	1.8	32.2	121.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.8%

PHI +4.9%

PHI +7.7%

PHI +14.2%

CHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.6	91.1	110.1	102.8
season	16.0	15.6		104.7	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.9		97.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.4	14.4	16.8	14.9	15.9
PHI	16.0	16.9	14.5	17.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	14.7	16.1	-1.42	15.6	16.5	-0.85
John Lucas III	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-13	10	16.1	15.8	0.30	16.7	16.3	0.47
CJ Watson	51	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-15	14	15.0	16.9	-1.93	17.0	15.4	1.53
Jimmy Butler	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-18	20	15.2	16.3	-1.03	17.9	15.2	2.67
Omer Asik	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-7	-2	16.3	15.7	0.55	18.0	15.8	2.20
Taj Gibson	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-11	6	15.6	16.0	-0.43	17.0	15.8	1.20
Carlos Boozer	52	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	16.0	15.6	0.43	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Joakim Noah	52	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	16.0	15.6	0.43	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Ronnie Brewer	49	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-4	-8	16.0	15.6	0.41	15.4	17.4	-1.95
Derrick Rose	60	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	1	-18	16.1	15.4	0.73	15.5	17.9	-2.42
Kyle Korver	67	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.06	-17	1	-18	16.4	14.2	2.26	16.3	16.4	-0.11

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	3	10	15.9	18.8	-2.92	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Elton Brand	53	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	4	8	15.2	17.9	-2.67	16.0	15.6	0.36
Lavoy Allen	47	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	0	16	16.8	15.8	0.98	16.3	15.4	0.93
Evan Turner	48	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	2	12	16.6	16.0	0.56	15.9	15.8	0.18
Louis Williams	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	5	6	16.7	15.8	0.93	16.1	15.5	0.63
Jrue Holiday	65	66	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	9	-2	16.2	16.5	-0.30	15.5	16.7	-1.16
Tony Battie	27	27	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	13	-10	16.4	16.3	0.12	16.4	15.6	0.74
Jodie Meeks	27	27	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	13	-10	16.6	16.2	0.38	16.4	15.6	0.74
Thaddeus Young	51	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	15	-14	17.0	15.4	1.53	15.0	16.9	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 65, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIN 97, IND 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 83, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.74,0.73,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%