NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	3.6 [1063]		MVP	James Robinson (MIN): +18.7%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	1.3 [1100]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -10.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.20	0.06	0.08	16	76%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.02
Stojko Vrankovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Heal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	11	56%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	19	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.02	16	71%	0.19	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.02	0.06	14	74%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	55%	0.04	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	73%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.07	6	92%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Brent Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	27.1	15.4	26.2	2.3	27.7	122.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.7%

IND +5.6%

IND +11.6%

MIN -4.7%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	17.6	16.1	15.6	114.1	133.7	104.4
season	15.5	15.3		103.3	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.5		101.9	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.9	18.1	17.9	15.5	17.6
IND	15.4	14.6	14.9	19.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Heal	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	13.0	17.7	-4.67	5.5	16.3	-10.83
Cherokee Parks	39	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-21	24	16.3	18.7	-2.41	16.4	15.8	0.57
Stojko Vrankovic	14	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.23	-10	-8	-2	17.8	17.6	0.21	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Tom Gugliotta	54	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-8	-2	19.0	15.1	3.91	15.6	17.0	-1.44
Terry Porter	27	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-3	-12	18.0	17.4	0.62	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Sam Mitchell	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-3	-12	16.3	19.3	-3.03	16.0	16.2	-0.23
James Robinson	73	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-12	-6	-6	17.5	18.1	-0.55	16.7	12.3	4.36
Dean Garrett	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-5	-8	18.7	16.9	1.77	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Stephon Marbury	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-11	4	17.6	17.7	-0.09	16.3	15.1	1.20
Kevin Garnett	67	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-9	0	17.6	17.7	-0.07	16.9	12.9	3.97

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	3	12	17.2	12.7	4.51	17.8	17.1	0.60
Reggie Miller	64	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	0	18	16.7	14.1	2.61	18.1	16.0	2.08
Mark Jackson	59	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	12	-6	16.3	15.6	0.77	17.3	18.4	-1.12
Antonio Davis	67	67	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.21	18	0	18	16.2	15.7	0.51	17.6	17.6	0.07
Rik Smits	59	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	3	12	17.1	13.9	3.25	17.9	17.0	0.87
Travis Best	37	34	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	11	-4	15.1	16.8	-1.66	17.6	17.6	-0.04
Jalen Rose	33	31	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	11	-4	16.0	16.2	-0.18	17.8	17.5	0.26
Erick Dampier	25	22	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	17	-16	12.6	17.5	-4.91	16.7	17.9	-1.19
Duane Ferrell	20	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	17	-16	13.5	16.9	-3.36	16.7	17.9	-1.20
Brent Scott	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	5.5	16.3	-10.83	13.0	17.7	-4.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHI 82, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CLE 94, CHA 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.57,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%