NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	3.9 [1015]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +25.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	128		Comeback	1.6 [977]		LVP	Channing Frye (PHX): -7.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	7	87%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.00	-0.03	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	13	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	57%	0.04	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	19%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.21	0.05	0.01	23	69%	0.29	2	-0.03	12	92%	0.05
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.02	0.05	13	78%	0.12	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	15	63%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.04	14	47%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	6	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	34.1	20.7	27.0	3.5	31.5	147.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.4%

PHX -0.2%

LAL +9.3%

LAL +9.8%

LAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	16.4	15.3	112.6	134.7	106.0
season	14.4	15.7		113.5	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	15.9	12.1	13.3	13.9
LAL	15.5	16.1	18.7	15.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	35	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-15	9	14.5	13.5	0.94	15.9	16.7	-0.75
Goran Dragic	41	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	-14	7	14.3	13.6	0.70	15.4	17.2	-1.86
Lou Amundson	36	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.15	-8	-13	5	14.2	13.7	0.44	15.9	16.7	-0.75
Grant Hill	41	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-20	19	14.3	13.6	0.70	16.7	16.2	0.55
Robin Lopez	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-23	25	13.4	14.4	-1.05	16.8	16.0	0.86
Jared Dudley	40	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-9	-3	13.1	14.4	-1.29	16.2	16.6	-0.38
Channing Frye	38	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-8	-5	14.4	13.5	0.88	16.4	16.4	0.04
Steve Nash	56	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	-8	-5	13.4	14.6	-1.14	16.8	15.8	0.96
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.25	-23	2	-25	13.8	14.1	-0.25	16.3	16.6	-0.27
Jason Richardson	72	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.19	-24	3	-27	13.9	13.8	0.15	16.9	14.9	1.97

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	71	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.13	22	-1	23	16.5	16.3	0.12	13.9	13.8	0.07
Lamar Odom	58	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.21	24	-3	27	16.7	16.0	0.65	15.0	12.2	2.75
Pau Gasol	74	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.15	22	-1	23	16.9	14.9	1.95	13.9	13.9	0.03
Derek Fisher	57	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	5	11	17.0	15.5	1.49	13.9	13.9	-0.05
Metta World Peace	78	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	10	1	16.8	14.8	2.02	13.9	14.1	-0.20
Jordan Farmar	36	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.19	9	12	-3	15.8	16.8	-0.95	14.2	13.7	0.48
Shannon Brown	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	15	-9	15.6	16.9	-1.30	13.9	13.9	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	37	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	20	-19	17.0	16.0	0.99	14.3	13.6	0.66
Luke Walton	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	14.5	16.6	-2.05	10.2	14.1	-3.98
DJ Mbenga	8	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	24	-27	14.6	16.6	-1.96	10.6	14.2	-3.69
Sasha Vujacic	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	20	-19	10.5	16.7	-6.18	12.2	14.0	-1.72
Josh Powell	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	24	-27	13.1	16.8	-3.71	11.2	14.2	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ATL 98, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
WAS 87, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%