NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	4.3 [939]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +12.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	107		Comeback	1.7 [1103]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -15.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerard King	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	70%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	53%	0.01	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Laron Profit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.03	0.06	13	54%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	14	55%	0.03	5	-0.08	10	70%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	12	27%	-0.07	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	13	34%	-0.09	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.00	0.00	10	81%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	24	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	13	48%	0.01	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	13	45%	-0.00	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	43.2	1.7	31.0	16.0	28.2	2.4	30.5	153.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +27.1%

SEA +1.6%

SEA +19.5%

SEA +0.8%

SEA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	NBA	WAS	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.5	90.6	110.3	100.9
season	15.2	15.2		98.6	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.5	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	14.9	16.1	16.0	15.3
SEA	15.8	13.9	13.2	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	15	16	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-22	24	13.5	15.6	-2.07	13.9	14.7	-0.75
Obinna Ekezie	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-22	24	14.6	15.4	-0.82	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Michael Smith	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-18	16	15.3	15.3	0.03	14.3	14.7	-0.45
Chris Whitney	38	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-13	6	15.8	14.9	0.93	14.7	14.5	0.21
Felipe Lopez	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-17	14	15.3	15.3	-0.01	16.0	13.5	2.52
Calvin Booth	48	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-7	-6	15.4	15.1	0.31	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Jahidi White	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-10	0	15.0	15.5	-0.41	15.3	14.1	1.21
Gerard King	44	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-2	-16	16.0	14.7	1.33	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Rod Strickland	66	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-6	-8	15.3	15.3	0.02	14.6	14.4	0.27
Juwan Howard	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-3	-14	15.2	15.6	-0.38	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Tyrone Nesby	68	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.07	-20	0	-20	15.2	15.5	-0.31	14.2	15.3	-1.16

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.19	24	-4	28	14.1	16.5	-2.37	15.8	13.1	2.70
Rashard Lewis	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	6	8	14.6	14.5	0.12	15.5	14.6	0.92
Ruben Patterson	58	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	1	18	14.0	15.5	-1.50	15.4	15.2	0.20
Shammond Williams	60	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	10	0	15.5	13.0	2.58	15.0	15.7	-0.62
Patrick Ewing	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	14	-8	14.6	14.6	0.00	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Vin Baker	61	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	10	0	15.0	13.8	1.21	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Brent Barry	47	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	11	-2	14.1	15.0	-0.81	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Ruben Wolkowyski	27	25	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	18	-16	14.2	14.7	-0.48	15.9	15.1	0.86
Desmond Mason	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.04	5	15	-10	14.6	14.5	0.11	14.1	15.8	-1.68
Olumide Oyedeji	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	16.4	14.5	1.93	12.7	15.4	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 82, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
PHX 107, LAL 128	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIN 97, IND 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%