NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	5.5 [745]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (BOS): +17.0%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	1.4 [825]		LVP	Derrick Brown (NYK): -13.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Walker	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	90%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	47%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	43%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	15	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Derrick Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.06	0.02	10	83%	0.23	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	16	62%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	65%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Von Wafer	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	54%	0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	27.0	15.4	29.4	2.4	24.3	125.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +50.9%

NYK -8.1%

BOS +4.1%

BOS +3.9%

NYK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	13.4	16.0	15.5	104.1	114.3	105.7
season	14.3	15.7		108.6	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.0	15.5	13.1	12.1	13.4
BOS	15.2	15.8	18.5	15.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	21	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-9	8	15.6	12.7	2.88	16.7	15.8	0.84
Henry Walker	46	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-12	14	14.0	12.8	1.13	17.0	15.2	1.74
Jared Jeffries	32	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	13.1	13.5	-0.34	15.2	16.5	-1.26
Amar'e Stoudemire	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	13.5	13.2	0.31	16.4	15.8	0.62
Toney Douglas	61	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-12	14	13.6	13.0	0.57	16.7	14.9	1.87
Shawne Williams	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-8	6	12.5	14.3	-1.89	16.2	15.9	0.31
Anthony Carter	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	0	-10	13.0	13.6	-0.61	14.9	16.9	-2.04
Landry Fields	62	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	13.1	13.8	-0.71	16.5	15.2	1.30
Shelden Williams	23	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	1	-12	14.1	13.1	0.95	14.7	16.4	-1.67
Roger Mason Jr.	64	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	13.0	13.9	-0.89	15.5	17.1	-1.62
Derrick Brown	45	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	-1	-8	13.2	13.5	-0.33	15.7	16.3	-0.55

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	0	10	15.9	16.5	-0.62	13.4	13.3	0.03
Jeff Green	71	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	0	10	16.0	16.0	0.04	13.6	12.8	0.80
Avery Bradley	58	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	0	10	15.6	16.7	-1.13	12.5	14.5	-2.00
Glen Davis	50	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	0	10	17.3	14.7	2.55	14.3	12.3	1.98
Troy Murphy	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	6	-2	15.4	16.9	-1.47	12.2	15.0	-2.87
Nenad Krstic	48	49	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	3	4	16.3	15.8	0.51	14.3	12.4	1.90
Von Wafer	77	76	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	12	-14	15.7	17.4	-1.72	13.2	13.9	-0.65
Carlos Arroyo	57	59	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	9	-8	16.5	15.4	1.10	13.6	12.9	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.71,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.66,0.76,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
TOR 74, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
ORL 101, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%