NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	101		Excitement	5.3 [735]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +17.4%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	1.4 [1095]		LVP	Tariq Abdul-Wahad (ORL): -13.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.01	0.05	16	69%	0.11	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Gatling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	9	65%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	8	25%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.01	11	78%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.03	-0.07	8	62%	0.09	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	8	61%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.01	0.08	8	83%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	63%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	11	61%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	29%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	26.2	15.6	25.2	2.4	30.3	125.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +50.5%

IND +8.3%

ORL -14.4%

IND +7.9%

ORL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	13.7	15.2	101.0	117.2	101.7
season	13.6	15.4		100.4	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.8	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	16.5	15.1	14.3	15.2
IND	14.9	13.5	13.6	12.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	54	53	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-20	25	13.6	17.2	-3.58	14.5	12.8	1.79
Darrell Armstrong	66	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-14	13	15.7	14.4	1.27	13.4	14.4	-1.02
Bo Outlaw	53	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	-10	5	15.5	14.9	0.54	14.5	12.8	1.69
John Amaechi	29	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-13	11	14.7	15.4	-0.75	13.4	13.8	-0.40
Michael Doleac	33	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-7	-1	16.4	14.6	1.75	14.1	13.6	0.51
Corey Maggette	37	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-12	9	13.8	16.0	-2.24	13.1	14.1	-0.93
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	1	-17	16.3	13.9	2.38	13.7	13.8	-0.14
Pat Garrity	34	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-9	3	15.6	15.0	0.65	13.4	13.9	-0.52
Chris Gatling	43	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.08	-14	-1	-13	16.4	14.3	2.10	13.1	14.2	-1.14
Monty Williams	62	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-4	-7	14.9	15.8	-0.88	13.3	14.3	-1.01
Chucky Atkins	34	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	-1	-13	14.4	15.7	-1.27	14.4	13.4	1.02

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	53	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-3	21	13.4	14.1	-0.73	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Sam Perkins	44	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-3	21	12.5	14.7	-2.27	15.9	14.7	1.18
Austin Croshere	44	42	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	-3	21	12.7	14.6	-1.90	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Jalen Rose	81	82	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	3	9	13.7	13.9	-0.21	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Reggie Miller	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	13	-11	14.4	12.6	1.79	15.7	14.4	1.33
Al Harrington	47	48	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	10	-5	13.5	13.9	-0.35	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Chris Mullin	14	15	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	9	-3	12.7	13.9	-1.17	15.4	15.2	0.21
Dale Davis	52	54	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	13	-11	14.1	13.3	0.76	16.1	14.2	1.82
Mark Jackson	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	13	-11	13.8	13.7	0.10	15.5	15.1	0.41
Rik Smits	46	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	14	-13	14.4	13.1	1.34	16.0	14.5	1.57
Zan Tabak	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	16.2	13.5	2.76	7.7	16.0	-8.30
Jeff Foster	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	23.0	13.4	9.57	6.5	15.6	-9.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	94.4%
CLE 88, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CHI 97, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%