NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	5.8 [633]		MVP	Randy Livingston (PHX): +20.3%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	1.6 [625]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -13.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	23	62%	0.18	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	9	84%	0.20	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
J.R. Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	-0.00	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	2	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Scott Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	3	67%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	18	50%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.09	0.00	6	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	10	73%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.06	-0.04	18	51%	0.16	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	55%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	10	20%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	18	55%	0.03	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	13	43%	0.03	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	23.7	14.8	24.3	2.3	36.6	127.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.8%

PHX +12.9%

PHX +18.6%

PHX +11.0%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.2	14.8	15.2	99.0	104.9	101.7
season	14.9	14.8		105.5	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		96.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.9	13.3	13.2	13.5	13.2
PHX	17.1	14.4	13.4	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-12	17	7.3	13.9	-6.59	11.6	15.2	-3.59
J.R. Reid	13	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	15.9	12.9	3.07	13.5	15.0	-1.56
Ray Allen	88	88	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-13	19	13.1	14.4	-1.29	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Scott Williams	49	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-5	3	12.8	13.6	-0.79	14.2	15.5	-1.25
Ervin Johnson	65	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-4	1	13.6	12.6	1.02	14.8	14.9	-0.15
Vinny Del Negro	42	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-4	1	13.7	12.9	0.76	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Danny Manning	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	1	-9	14.0	12.7	1.30	15.7	14.2	1.47
Tim Thomas	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	13.6	12.7	0.81	15.0	14.6	0.47
Glenn Robinson	66	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	12.8	14.1	-1.34	15.4	13.9	1.51
Sam Cassell	74	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	10	-27	13.2	13.4	-0.15	15.1	14.2	0.92

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	87	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-1	9	14.9	14.5	0.41	12.7	15.9	-3.16
Oliver Miller	83	80	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-2	11	14.8	14.9	-0.13	12.7	15.1	-2.35
Randy Livingston	15	15	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-4	15	17.2	14.4	2.76	14.5	13.0	1.51
Clifford Robinson	85	85	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	4	-1	15.4	12.0	3.45	13.3	13.0	0.29
Rex Chapman	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-2	11	14.7	15.0	-0.21	13.5	12.9	0.65
Toby Bailey	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.27	-2	9	-11	15.0	14.7	0.21	12.9	13.5	-0.65
Todd Day	34	34	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	4	-1	13.2	15.7	-2.49	14.4	12.6	1.79
Jason Kidd	88	87	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	11	-15	14.4	17.2	-2.76	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Mark West	20	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	9	-11	14.9	14.8	0.13	15.1	12.7	2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.71,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.66,0.76,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, BOS 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
UTA 86, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.1%
HOU 95, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%