inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 74 Excitement4.9 [855] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +27.6%
Portland Trail Blazers 92 Comeback1.4 [857] LVPVictor Claver (POR): -15.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ed Davis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.02-0.00764%0.111-0.038100%0.05
Jose Calderon0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.01775%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Aaron Gray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.011653%0.043-0.066100%0.03
Jonas Valanciunas-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00667%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
John Lucas III-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.0540%-0.0410.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.00633%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.02520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.011330%-0.092-0.04450%-0.01
Kyle Lowry-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.04-0.0159%-0.082-0.071100%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.170.08-0.031965%0.301-0.028100%0.04
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01375%0.0600.002100%0.01
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.140.010.09794%0.081-0.02367%-0.01
Nolan Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.03-0.021048%0.071-0.023100%0.02
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.041240%0.0400.0010%-0.02
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.01-0.00922%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.140.01-0.001427%-0.102-0.045100%0.05
Victor Claver0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.03-0.011217%-0.131-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.726.415.030.01.828.2128.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +27.6%
POR +3.8%
POR +5.2%
POR +16.9%
TOR -3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORPORNBATORPORNBA
this game15.915.915.482.2101.1104.1
season16.115.8104.4104.3
opponent15.315.3107.6105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.616.217.016.115.9
POR14.815.817.215.915.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrea Bargnani16170.05-0.550.60-0.043-212413.216.5-3.2815.316.0-0.72
Kyle Lowry3435-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-202214.316.9-2.6115.616.1-0.45
Aaron Gray1415-0.04-0.460.41-0.102-202215.915.9-0.0219.615.14.46
Terrence Ross2424-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-171616.415.80.6415.715.9-0.18
Amir Johnson1819-0.21-0.290.080.03-8-10218.115.42.7115.316.0-0.71
John Lucas III2323-0.26-0.24-0.020.21-16-2-1417.715.32.3514.316.4-2.05
Jonas Valanciunas6666-0.36-0.14-0.210.05-14-4-1015.517.2-1.7215.816.1-0.28
Ed Davis4645-0.37-0.13-0.230.19-191-2017.114.82.2914.916.8-1.91
DeMar DeRozan8081-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.04-11-7-415.817.3-1.5216.213.13.12
Mickael Pietrus7273-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.13-8-10215.218.8-3.5416.214.61.58
Jose Calderon5757-0.500.00-0.510.08-202-2216.814.42.4516.115.60.51

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge73720.63-0.130.76-0.0122-42616.015.30.7516.613.33.26
Sasha Pavlovic80780.53-0.030.55-0.001801815.518.7-3.2416.214.51.67
Damian Lillard68680.440.060.38-0.031621415.716.4-0.7416.115.50.53
Victor Claver50510.390.110.28-0.021441014.817.2-2.3515.716.2-0.46
JJ Hickson44440.360.140.22-0.111621415.716.0-0.3415.916.0-0.02
Nolan Smith40390.240.26-0.02-0.11126615.815.9-0.0516.415.60.78
Luke Babbitt39390.230.27-0.050.02711-416.315.60.7115.416.3-0.90
Jared Jeffries1817-0.030.53-0.570.03-220-2217.815.42.4416.615.80.79
Meyers Leonard2221-0.090.59-0.680.05-523-2817.115.51.6014.716.3-1.67
Will Barton2121-0.190.69-0.880.05-826-3416.715.61.0913.916.6-2.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 79, POR 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,195.1%
TOR 87, BOS 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,195.0%
NYK 100, OKC 1120.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,194.5%