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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 108 Excitement4.2 [1003] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +10.1%
New Jersey Nets 94 Comeback1.0 [1265] LVPJordan Farmar (NJN): -9.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.100,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.03-0.011360%0.152-0.05475%-0.01
Chris Bosh0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.04-0.00964%0.132-0.04757%-0.04
LeBron James0.070,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.001870%0.177-0.10862%-0.00
James Jones0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.000.054100%0.0600.00250%0.00
Mike Bibby0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.01550%0.0400.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02656%0.001-0.01667%-0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02523%-0.0200.00333%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00955%0.032-0.06250%-0.01
Mike Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01633%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.02-0.021257%0.1000.00683%0.01
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.021343%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Brook Lopez0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.02-0.021347%0.042-0.03875%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Uzoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.001035%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mario West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01350%-0.021-0.0320%-0.04
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.050.000.021749%0.014-0.07367%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.020.091054%-0.052-0.054100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.426.315.828.32.438.4136.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +53.6%
NJN -2.5%
MIA +3.2%
NJN -9.1%
MIA +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANJNNBAMIANJNNBA
this game15.614.115.5111.396.9105.7
season16.016.4109.0101.6
opponent15.315.6108.5102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.217.614.314.515.6
NJN15.814.412.913.714.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh75760.53-0.030.55-0.0319-52415.516.0-0.5514.313.31.00
LeBron James80790.390.110.290.011311214.819.2-4.4414.114.3-0.27
Dwyane Wade57580.330.170.16-0.081401414.816.6-1.7813.914.5-0.63
Erick Dampier58570.290.210.080.0686214.916.6-1.7414.613.51.09
Mike Bibby53530.250.250.00-0.07113815.615.50.0614.613.51.16
Mario Chalmers35340.250.25-0.000.13410-616.215.20.9713.514.4-0.94
James Jones47480.180.32-0.130.07410-615.915.30.5714.314.00.31
Zydrunas Ilgauskas38390.180.32-0.150.15113-1216.814.82.0413.814.3-0.49
Mike Miller42410.100.40-0.300.22-418-2217.214.32.9313.514.6-1.13

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Uzoh230.00-0.500.50-0.031-15167.514.3-6.7510.315.7-5.41
Dan Gadzuric1820-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-161812.814.4-1.6413.916.0-2.11
Brandan Wright79-0.10-0.400.300.08-6-8213.414.2-0.7412.715.9-3.21
Johan Petro1615-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-121014.414.10.3118.715.03.65
Mario West4042-0.19-0.310.11-0.17-1-131213.014.9-1.8915.715.50.20
Jordan Farmar4244-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-10612.515.3-2.8015.215.8-0.60
Anthony Morrow4644-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-8-6-215.013.31.6916.115.20.94
Sasha Vujacic7877-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-12-2-1014.711.73.0215.216.8-1.60
Travis Outlaw7270-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.00-12-2-1013.914.8-0.9815.515.9-0.38
Brook Lopez8180-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.09-10-4-614.611.43.2015.814.41.48
Deron Williams8381-0.510.01-0.530.02-184-2214.611.43.1415.913.82.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 93, LAC 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.9%
LAC 121, LAL 1060.5,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
LAL 89, DEN 680.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.25,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%