NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	121		Excitement	4.0 [1038]		MVP	Montrezl Harrell (LAC): +11.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	1.0 [959]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (LAL): -3.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.02	9	71%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	12	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	15	57%	0.13	4	-0.07	12	92%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.07	2	-0.04	15	87%	0.02
C.J. Williams	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	55%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	7	84%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	16	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	14	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	16	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	20	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	30.4	14.7	30.0	1.8	27.1	132.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.5%

LAC +11.1%

LAC +12.5%

LAL -0.6%

LAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	13.7	14.7	118.6	105.0	107.5
season	14.2	13.7		109.2	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.6		107.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	16.1	14.4	14.2	14.6
LAL	15.5	15.2	10.5	14.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	4	7	14.4	15.0	-0.61	14.3	12.7	1.62
DeAndre Jordan	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	1	13	15.0	13.8	1.22	13.9	13.4	0.50
Milos Teodosic	70	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	1	13	14.7	14.5	0.19	14.5	12.2	2.27
Lou Williams	63	63	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	5	5	14.9	14.2	0.73	13.5	14.1	-0.62
Austin Rivers	58	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	7	1	15.2	13.9	1.26	13.1	14.5	-1.43
C.J. Williams	50	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	5	5	14.5	14.7	-0.25	14.9	12.6	2.29
Jawun Evans	35	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	11	-7	14.5	14.7	-0.22	12.0	14.7	-2.75
Sam Dekker	41	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	11	-7	14.7	14.6	0.17	13.0	14.2	-1.27
Montrezl Harrell	35	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	14	-13	13.8	15.0	-1.22	13.4	13.9	-0.50
Wesley Johnson	20	21	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	12	-9	13.8	14.8	-1.03	14.0	13.7	0.32
Sindarius Thornwell	4	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	19	-23	10.7	14.8	-4.04	12.0	13.8	-1.80

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	12.0	13.8	-1.80	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Ivica Zubac	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	12.0	13.8	-1.80	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Alex Caruso	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-13	11	11.5	14.1	-2.59	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Andrew Bogut	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-11	7	16.9	13.4	3.50	15.1	14.6	0.52
Larry Nance Jr.	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-13	11	13.0	14.2	-1.27	15.1	14.3	0.74
Corey Brewer	34	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-13	11	12.0	14.6	-2.63	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Jordan Clarkson	71	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-16	17	13.4	14.5	-1.03	15.3	12.9	2.42
Kyle Kuzma	76	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-6	-3	13.8	13.7	0.08	14.8	14.0	0.83
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	68	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-1	-13	14.6	11.9	2.72	14.7	14.5	0.17
Julius Randle	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	1	-17	14.4	12.9	1.46	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Josh Hart	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	0	-15	14.4	13.1	1.38	13.4	15.8	-2.45
Brandon Ingram	77	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	3	-21	13.6	14.1	-0.50	14.8	14.1	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 107, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
POR 86, NJN 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MIA 103, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0	95.1%