NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	2.7 [1234]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +8.9%
New Jersey Nets	68		Comeback	1.0 [254]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (NJN): -5.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.00	-0.05	9	60%	0.09	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Ime Udoka	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	17	49%	0.08	3	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	73%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	35%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	10	39%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02
Hassan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	48%	0.02	3	-0.05	7	43%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	47%	0.00	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	0.05	8	55%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.2	25.1	14.8	29.4	2.5	28.5	124.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.8%

POR +1.2%

NJN -3.6%

POR +7.9%

POR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NJN	NBA	POR	NJN	NBA
this game	18.0	16.5	15.4	102.4	81.9	104.5
season	16.7	15.4		103.1	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.2	18.4	19.5	18.0	18.0
NJN	17.3	16.6	15.6	16.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	64	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	-3	24	17.7	19.0	-1.36	16.3	17.0	-0.70
Jarrett Jack	66	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	1	16	18.6	15.7	2.91	15.9	18.9	-2.93
LaMarcus Aldridge	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.14	20	-2	22	18.0	18.0	-0.04	16.7	16.0	0.67
Zach Randolph	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	-3	24	18.1	17.9	0.13	16.8	15.9	0.92
Martell Webster	48	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	7	4	18.1	17.9	0.22	16.0	17.1	-1.03
Juan Dixon	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	12	-6	17.9	18.2	-0.28	16.9	15.8	1.03
Dan Dickau	14	11	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	11	-4	14.1	18.8	-4.73	19.4	16.0	3.34
Travis Outlaw	32	31	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	19	-20	17.9	18.1	-0.12	16.8	16.3	0.49
Jamaal Magloire	25	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	21	-24	18.4	17.8	0.55	15.8	16.8	-1.02
Stephen Graham	2	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	21	-24	24.5	17.9	6.65	12.0	16.6	-4.58
Sergio Rodriguez	4	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	24	-30	21.5	17.8	3.66	17.5	16.4	1.08

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Adams	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	14.2	16.6	-2.42	20.2	17.8	2.32
Mikki Moore	9	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-17	16	13.6	16.8	-3.27	19.0	17.9	1.11
Marcus Williams	33	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-20	22	15.8	16.9	-1.13	17.5	18.4	-0.95
Bostjan Nachbar	51	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-14	10	16.0	17.2	-1.12	17.6	18.7	-1.16
Clifford Robinson	40	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-12	6	15.4	17.4	-1.97	17.6	18.4	-0.79
Nenad Krstic	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-5	-8	17.1	15.0	2.16	17.9	18.2	-0.21
Antoine Wright	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-6	-6	16.5	16.3	0.18	19.2	14.9	4.33
Jason Collins	31	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.14	-17	-1	-16	17.2	16.0	1.21	17.8	18.1	-0.32
Jason Kidd	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	0	-18	17.0	14.8	2.13	18.2	17.4	0.88
Vince Carter	63	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.24	-24	6	-30	16.9	15.1	1.74	17.4	20.0	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 122, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
OKC 109, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
POR 114, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%